Brian5671
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Everything posted by Brian5671
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02-03 (President's day blizzard) followed 01-02 and 12-13 (great New England blizzard) after the dud of 11-12 so there's hope for next year
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and the MJO, EPO, NAO, warm water near Australia. Literally nothing worked in our favor this year....I was lucky to get the 4 inches here on 1/18, that was about it other than some ice and snow to rains in early December
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I've gone to Mohawk (CT) twice this year and it's actually been decent with all the snowmaking and no crowds at all.... But when there's no snow down here, people just don't go.
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it's the year with no cold air....
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Move to Denver, CO...that happens all the time-it's usually warmest right before it snows there....
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one can argue pattern persistence-90% of the time with this type of pattern, a big east coast storm won't work out. Time and time again this winter-ensemble members have shown snows only for it to not verify-why? The pattern doesn't support it.
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March 2002, 12 redux....
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No blocking, no storm
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one other interesting thing-alot of warm water off the coast and also not churned up due to the lack of storms-that could favor a big deepener
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JB says it "might" be coming...
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Frigid airmass there lol
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warming up quickly here-already 50
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Night time would be key-anything at 12 noon or even 2pm won't likely cut it
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no even worth looking at along with the CMC---EURO/UKie way to go
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I'd give it a 1 in 15 chance...if we had an NAO block, we'd be in business
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March 2020 Temperature Forecast Contest
Brian5671 replied to Roger Smith's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA +3.0 +2.5 +2.0 even +5.0 +3.5 -1.0 -1.0 -2.0 -
heading to Okemo weekend of 3/20-hoping we see a snowstorm around that time-interestingly, we went to Mohawk (NW CT) yesterday and saw 3 inches from 3 intense squalls that hit us-crazy whiteout in one of them-made for great skiing with the fresh powder. Luckiest day ever.
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EPO has been mainly positive and the dips to negative much less in strength that forecast. I doubt that changes given the persistence of this pattern
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Good move-look at all the time you've saved lol.
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Pattern has been so bad we can't even get that.....
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I don't see much to get excited about-we have 4 days of cold now-bone dry of course and then models show a big torch coming....
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actually it will be Met Spring on Sunday. Get ready for the torch, it's the only torch you got
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he's in Worcester at 1500 feet, you're in the Atlantic Ocean-night and day
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No cold air-what a surprise! LOL he's really grasping at straws
