Brian5671

Weeklies are warm overall for the next month....there will be cool shots, but appears the warmth will carry the day

LOL- I would not get too worried either weekend....lot of hype out there

there was also a strong -NAO and blocking high to our northeast for Sandy....

the band is losing its upper level support and slowly decaying...

2:52 E 20 G 29 10.00 Overcast FEW029 OVC055 66 53 63% NA NA 29.92 1013.3 06 11:52 E 18 G 26 10.00 Overcast OVC060 66 54 65% NA NA 29.95 1014.2 06 10:52 NE 15 10.00 Overcast OVC075 65 55 70% NA NA 29.96 1014.5 06 09:52 NE 16 10.00 Fair CLR 65 56 73% NA NA 29.97 1014.8 06 08:52 NE 13 10.00 Fair CLR 63 56

dews have been steady or even dropped a degree here-NE winds with dry air winning the battle so far. 64/57

struggling to get north of LI-will be close here.

doubt many see 1-2 inches-unless a PRE sets up

yep euro bailed last night. Most models have .10 to maybe .50 in some scattered showers later on and tonight. Weekend looks awesome!

NAM not really biting. 3K has some widely scattered showers that become a bit more numerous overnight but mainly N and E of NYC

it's either way overdoing the PRE signal or it's onto something-it did move south a bit-very sharp cutoff north of I84....let's see if the NAMS suddenly show this solution at 18z/0z

12z euro insists on 1-2 inches of rain tomorrow PM/eve from a PRE...all other models have nothing...another Euro coup?

any track maps of that one? Would be curious to see where it originated from

Fantasy at this point, but you never know...at some point 1938 or something like it will happen again....

regardless of what happens later, this summer seems to have abruptly ended last Thursday....feels very fallish since then and this weekend will be a continuation of that...

Hope it's heated. Cant be more than 68-70 degrees at this point.

it had nothing here at 12z, and then we end up getting close to 2 inches on the western fridge of the precip

1.25 here and it's still going-15-20 miles west of here close to nothing...

models hadn't figured out the interaction with the TS/PRE yet

western edge of the precip is dumping-the cutoff is literally 10 miles to my west...heavy rains here for the last couple of hours

another day of temps around 70 for the high here....

Couple of quick showers here-dewpoints closing in on 70

Radar trends look to favor the well east solutions for today's rains.

3K nam much further east like the HRRR, RGEM, GFS and CMC

western outlier. Will be interesting to see what verifies. Euro agrees to some extent with the NAM but lesser amounts.