a little bit like the big halloween storm back in the 90's. (smaller version but similar set up where the storm stalled for days and brought high surf, wind etc but not much rain)
it's a tool-some look at them as gospel, but you have to take them, along with any other model, Met opinion etc as one of many things to use to forecast
Need to get rid of the fast Pac Jet and big SE Ridge-those 2 alone killed us last year. If we have Blocking, we could live with the fast jet-yet another wildcard
The front stalls to our south and a wave of low pressure forms on it...the exact placement of the rain is still up in the air but someone could see an inch of rain