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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. some of the 12z runs have a bit of an inverted trough feature over the region...
  2. Dry soil will only help the cause-imagine if we did not get that 1-3 inches of rain last weekend
  3. A couple fall noreasters would wipe out that drought map...
  4. Cutoff lows notoriously difficult with precip placement. But would be nice to get another dump of rain and on a Monday-that would be great
  5. yep even the day 15 fantasy heat maps weren't there
  6. doesn't even show rain in the hourly obs today either-something is broken there
  7. moderate rain here-looks like another 1-2 hrs before it tapers off
  8. models already drying up for the weekend as well-mostly N and W of NYC and not much along the coast
  9. Same story most years-most forecasts are too bullish...it's more than just warm water to fuel the storms
  10. Euro has little to no rain NYC S and E through Sun. Others are wetter. I'm going Euro all the way given the dry conditions
  11. Dry begets dry. I think 3 of the last 4 summers/fall here have been dry.
  12. Just beyond bone dry here-looks like a desert. Even drier than 2023 and last fall.
  13. locally the June heatwave was the big event of the summer-3 days of 98 or 99 which is impressive for here as we don't even get that many 90 degree days
  14. you're in a relative warm spot around this forum-Euro showed 100-102 degree heat for many a week out...never happened
  15. It was this morning...52 here. Felt chilly when I went out with the kids for first day of school pics at 7am...warming nicely though 77 here perfect day
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