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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    I think anyone that has been doing this for awhile knew that a perfect setup at day 6 was unlikely to hold regardless of model performance. The Euro showing nothing at 12z yesterday was also big red flag.
  2. Brian5671
    Been playing kick the can since 1/25. Still early and we weren't going to be in the bullseye 5 days straight...but the worrying thing is that most of these storms have been wide right this year. OP euro not having anything is concerning... See what happens tomorrow...
  3. Brian5671
    it's east of 12z but who cares at this lead time
  4. Brian5671
    Euro is the 2nd highest scoring model yet we hear "it's struggled this year" Blah blah blah...but still 5 days away but we weren't going to stay in the bullseye all that time.
  5. Brian5671
    IF it's like the euro it's a miss then.
  6. Brian5671
    Post more please Post less please
  7. Brian5671
    yep if the euro had showed a HECS it would be hailed as great model and a list of storms it nailed. Instread it's a terrible model that has "struggled" all winter. It did quite well this year on the 12/26/25 storm BTW
  8. Brian5671
    with marginal temps would need heavier precip otherwise urban areas could have trouble accumulating lighter rates
  9. Brian5671
    The GEFS are vastly different that the OP GFS-would you toss the GFS op? Nope b/c it shows the preferred solution
  10. Brian5671
    People hear what they want to hear-got to look at it all and the seasonal trend-when was the last time we had a benchmark storm?
  11. Brian5671
    melting here slowly-up to 45
  12. Brian5671
    It's not. It's near the top for performance. I was mostly kidding above but we've seen the last 2 bigger storms miss to the S and E so it's possible but at day 5-6 anything's on the table
  13. Brian5671
    oh well fun while it lasted!
  14. Brian5671
    march is often warm and snowless these days anyway
  15. Brian5671
    lets hope we don't see the further N and E trend that we often see with some of these Miller B's
  16. Brian5671
    Social media hysteria will commence shortly.
  17. Brian5671
    Friday snow event is definitely further S verbatim
  18. Brian5671
    Not sure I want to be in the jackpot 5-6 days out...but that's an incredible setup on the ICON
  19. Brian5671
    Not sure that's a good analog-due to severe blocking it was mainly rain NE of NYC into New England.
  20. Brian5671
    Wed and Fri
  21. Brian5671
    too little too late for most ski resorts-was in CO a couple weeks ago it was awful and alot of people canceled their trips
  22. Brian5671
  23. Brian5671
    seems like it's kick the can time for anything interesting around here. been a month of boredom since 1/25 MECS
  24. Brian5671
    maybe that's why the models have been all over the place this winter
  25. Brian5671
    Got to get within 4-5 days we haven’t had a coastal in 2 yrs
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