Krs4Lfe

Until the record breaking northern stream of the pacific jet subsides; like in 2021 and Jan 2022, we will not reach average snowfall because there are no KU tracks. The more that the western pacific warms during the summer (record breaking marine heatwaves every year now), the lower chance we have of a KU. Might become the new normal, if it isn’t already

I say further east. I think that’s the only way this storm can trend. And I think Saturday’s snow negatively interferes with Sunday and pushes the boundary level further offshore. I could see it being moderate snow for east New England and Maine though

GFS has been proven wrong time and again. I bet Euro will be right in regards to the 24th as well, a big cutter during our warmup

No accumulation with those temps for Saturday unless higher elevation. Still has almost nothing for Sunday.

For Sunday: CMC has light snow UKMET has light snow AI models (GFS and Euro) have light-moderate snow ICON has light snow GFS has a snowstorm Euro has almost nothing For Saturday: all models have up to an inch for almost all of us. But since temps will be in low-mid 30s, there will be no accumulation

Finally. We went above average on 1/6 and have been like +10 since then. 8 days

Euro has a cutter for 22nd-25th period where other models show a SWFE.

Yeah, it's been incredibly warm and dry across West and Plains this "winter." The only wintry weather has been from North Dakota through Midwest to Northeast. We are all falling behind average snow. Very mild January thus far for entire US

Euro has nothing for Sunday. So here's where we are: GFS has big storm (won't happen) CMC has a light-moderate event UKMET has a light event ICON has a light-moderate event Either way, almost all models have light snow on Saturday. But the antecedent airmass is very warm so I'd only expect accumulation inland.

UK shows nothing. GFS shows a bomb. CMC has a light-moderate event. Icon has a light-moderate event. We'll see what Euro says

Looks nice and cold in the long range. CMC and GFS have something around the 22nd, looks like a SWFE which would favor New England of course.

Yes and no. The trough needs to be negative in order to get this further west. If it's not negative, it's not coming further west with a positive trough.

Let's see what GFS and CMC have for the 22nd and beyond. Last night was obviously a weenie run, but the pattern would indicate there would probably be something within that timeframe

I'm still waiting for the one on 1/7 and the pattern change to colder weather on 1/11

GFS has a classic arctic boundary storm, snow riding up from Deep South through east coast, and intensifying off coast of Mid Atlantic. Weenie run