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Krs4Lfe

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  1. Krs4Lfe
    Yeah NYC Is at a D so far. Only 1/3rd of seasonal snowfall as the best snow bands continue to miss us in all these events. F winter until today. Maybe we can make it up to C category ? (That would be 20”, similar to 2022 winter). B winter would be average (27-30” inches, won’t happen this season but that’s what a B would be)
  2. Krs4Lfe
    3.5 inches on tabletops in madison square park, report just came from Tomer Burg on twitter. If that park can get over 3", so can Central Park.
  3. Krs4Lfe
    We still have a long way to go here in NYC to reach 2022 level. That January 2022 blizzard allowed for an 18-22” season total across NYC. We still have about 10” to go over here until we reach that amount.
  4. Krs4Lfe
    Yeah so 2 inches at Central Park, and I believe they were at 6” before this storm. So we’ve beaten 1998,2002,2012,2020,2023 (which were all ratters. This one is a ratter too until we hit 10” which might not be likely at Centeal park this season). Many spotters reporting 3.5” in Central Park, don’t know why the measuring site is always so low (clearly they dont measure without compaction) I’ve hit 11” for the season here in Bayside.
  5. Krs4Lfe
    In between 3.5 and 4” here in Bayside Queens. Still coming down a bit, should end very soon. Will Central Park crack 3?
  6. Krs4Lfe
    Yeah it looks like that northern band really died off and most radar returns continue to be virga. Makes sense with a southern band taking up most of the energy and dumping the southern zones. Kind lf like what Tomer was saying.
  7. Krs4Lfe
    Tomer Burg says the northern band of snow is dying out as the southern band takes control and strengthens, which would lead to a dry slot north of Trenton. Concerning if it happens.
  8. Krs4Lfe
    That being said, it doesn't fully explain how Central US became void of snow and cold this winter. It truly is incredible to see, but while December is usually not snowy for this region, December is quite snowy for Central US, and helps establish a critical snowpack. That did not happen this year, and we lost critical time, which was further damaged by a Pac extension during peak climo (early-mid Feb), which led to another torch over the Central region.
  9. Krs4Lfe
    I would argue that the lack of snow across CONUS is not only due to warm Canada and warm north US, rather the fact that a fast PAC has also led to a lack of blocking in the north Atlantic, which is how the January systems moved out to sea, and the storm on Tuesday was such a quick mover. Slower movers would have allowed for slower storms with more snow, and for there to be less of a suppression risk like what happened in late Jan and early Feb. Lack of atlantic blocking led to OTS systems, or snowstorms that moved too quickly. That alone would have led to increased snow coverage and colder weather (snow begets snow), and would have led to less rainstorms over the region.
  10. Krs4Lfe
    Agreed, this was reminiscent of the 2016 strong El Niño, and other strong El Niños of the past. But this wasn’t a strong El Niño. So why was it so warm? Troubling for sure. Maybe due to the December pac jet extension, which torched December, not allowing snowcover and cold to be established. Same thing happened in early to mid Feb. 2 critical timeframes that we lost due to pac torch. Could that be the reason why ?
  11. Krs4Lfe
    Ryan Maue posted some maps showing the extent of the warmth across the nation from the pattern flip around March 1st. The EPS and GEFS are the most bullish on this, with temperatures around +8 for the NYC area. GEPS is least bullish, with temperatures around neutral. That being said, all of them indicate a colder than normal (generally -5 to -10) across the west, including UT/NV/ID, and of course the west coast. Should lead to some good snows over there.
  12. Krs4Lfe
    Ouch. You tend to be one of the most optimistic on this board. I guess we'll have the next 10 days or so to try to squeeze something in. A flareup of the SE ridge is how we become very warm here (early Jan 2023, mid Jan 2020, Feb 2018, Feb 2017, Dec 2014). That would really be the icing on the cake if that happens in early March.
  13. Krs4Lfe
    Its interesting to note that while the weeklies and almost all model guidance has pulled the rug on any sort of wintry weather/ cold temps by around March 1st or so, there appears to be some sort of return to western ridging and eastern trough around mid March. Of course, that is 1 month away, and we would have to endure a Pac jet extension and flareup of the SE ridge. There are too many problems between end of February and mid-March, but at the very least, I suppose it would prevent March from being totally a spring month.
  14. Krs4Lfe
    Its interesting to note that while the weeklies and almost all model guidance has pulled the rug on any sort of wintry weather/ cold temps by around March 1st or so, there appears to be some sort of return to western ridging and eastern trough around mid March. Of course, that is 1 month away, and we would have to endure a Pac jet extension and flareup of the SE ridge. There are too many problems between end of February and mid-March, but at the very least, I suppose it would prevent March from being totally a spring month.
  15. Krs4Lfe
    Verbatim, that looks like a good pattern. Ideally you would want that western ridge to be further east towards ID, which would prevent low pressure from moving too far inland. Unfortunately, due to lack of cold and snow cover, which will only be even less sustained at that point, it's highly likely that this would lead to just cold rainstorms for the region.
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