Krs4Lfe

If this pans out as forecast, its a winter saver for DC-Philly, which has been hurting in snow department this year. DC had average snow in 2019, 2024, and 2025. Philly had average snow in 2021 but baltimore has been snowholed since 2018. Baltimore has missed out on almost every big snow over past 10 years. Overall, entire I-95 corridor has been hurt by the 2020s, lowest snowfall average of any recorded decade. Boston can always get the late blooming blizzard, but wow has I-95 been lacking

This upcoming storm might be exactly what the south and central US needs. Winter never started in those parts, been very warm and dry. A storm like this, absent a huge shift to the north, would put Texas through the lower Mid Atlantic at average to above average snowfall. That's their ticker to a winter redemption, especially because lower and central Mid Atlantic is running very below average with snowfall. And it looks quite cold east of the Rockies for most of february as well.

The coldest snowstorm I think I’ve ever witnessed was 1/3/14 (I believe that was the exact date but I’m not sure). 7-10 in NYC. Blizzard out east and up north. Teens for the entire storm, temps dropped into single digits just as snow stopped. Similar to 1/29/22, and 1/4/18. temps were in teens most of storm. That’s hard to pull off over here. Even most of our bigger storms like 2/1/21 and 1/23/16 were in 20s to low 30s.

ICON shows crippling ice across mid south and over towards Texas, with nearly feet of snowfall to the north of it from southern plains through mid Atlantic. Run isn’t finished but the HP is just sitting over our area. I doubt it’ll be able to penetrate

Weather channel named this one Winter Storm Fern. One of latest F named winter storms aside from last winter. They’re already attaching the buzz words to it on social media

I think the big events died with the 2021 winter. Always seems to be cutter, suppression; southern slider etc. no reason to think this will be any different

Just wait for this storm to miss south; the next one to miss too far to the east, and then we’re in February and typical La Niña fashion we torch. I’m joking. Kind of

Usually La Nina torch by the time March comes, and the SER starts to flex in February which usually makes the east warm. Considering this winter has followed the path of a canonical La Niña, I would assume after this big cold period we’d have some big time warm coming, and with some staying power too

This winter is nothing like 2013-2014 or 2014-2015. We hear comparisons to those winters almost every year. Those there Nearly countrywide blockbuster winters. Aside from the Midwest and northeast, winter never arrived this year for most of the US. Warm and dry as far as eye can see.

That is such a BS measurement. Almost all the other places in the boroughs measured in between 1.5 to 3 inches today, a combination of both the snow from the morning and from the evening. If they measured properly, they would have had more than 1 inch. Their measurement problems have become so exacerbated since the start of the decade. They’ve consistently been, on average like 1-2” less than nearby areas in every storm, and it adds up. They should either measure somewhere else in the park or maybe they should measure in Riverside park on the west side where it’s more expansive. We’ve seen this time and again now.

So which model did best with this. Euro, ICON, UKMET had nothing until 2 days ago. It was just GFS and the GFs-AI and Euro-AI that had something for most of the week, but proved to be too bullish.

ICON is very flat for next weekend. Looks like HP is quite strong nearby and causes suppression. I’m not saying that the suppression will be similar to last winter, where several storms in January and February never materialized up here because of how strong the high pressure and cold air was, but it’s something to keep in mind.

2025-2026 winter now matches 2024-2025 winter for only 5 named winter storms by the weather channel thus far. Tied for record low number; highlighting the inactivity across the US aside from Midwest and northeast. They’ve been naming since 2012-2013 winter.

Two days ago I heard about a little bit of snow or rain on Thursday. ICON model was showing it and Euro too. Haven’t seen anything about it since then. I assume that’s not the case anymore?

As snow ends now, we had around 0.7" earlier, and around 1.7" tonight. So that's a total of 2.4". With the 1.1" yesterday, that's 3.5" for the weekend. I wasn't expecting anything yesterday so I guess that makes up for today's bust. Around 13.5" for the season (1 inch shy of last winter's final total.)