09-10 analogy

Yeah just sharing the experience with our daughter is the big thing. The ZoT is only 15 or so miles away from where we're staying so if the traffic isn't that bad we'll tool on up to Rome or something. But I hate traffic; deal with enough of that around here. And I hate port-a-potties. And I don't like doing my number-one business on some stranger's property without their permission.

We got a hotel room where it's 99.7% totality, in Utica. Our daughter goes to school up near there so we're hooking up with her since her friends can't get their act together to see it. I think we're just going to stay at the hotel and if we miss out on 0.3%, it'll be worth it to have access to a bathroom and not worry about traffic. One thing giving me a little pause is the NWS threat matrix product, which shows 49% sky cover for Monday for Utica at 12 pm. But the p-and-c forecast is mostly sunny.

The "triple point" is the severe season's kin to winter storms' "deformation zone."

Per the MD 344, the extraordinary shear seems to be quite capably overcoming the lack of instability in WVA, so if that's occuring upstream of us ..?

Somewhat ironic, or eerie, or maybe just uselessly coincidental, that the overlay for the hatched 10% significant tornadoes today covers almost exactly the location of the vast majority of tornadoes of Superoutbreak I, whose 50th anniversary is tomorrow.

This Burnes guy is everything that was advertised. I could get used to this every fifth game.

Well they expedited the Minneapolis I-35 bridge so that it only took 13 months to rebuild (https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/27/economy/minneapolis-bridge-collapse-baltimore-lessons/index.html) but that bridge was only a quarter of the length of the FSK.

Evidently the cargo ship issued a "mayday," which was relayed to the bridge authority, allowing it to stop vehicular traffic and preventing a potentially greater loss of life. That's from the news conference they held.

Yep was not expecting thunder with these lower temps. Not just this low rolling stuff, but a legit timpani. There's some decent lightning with this cell, too. And a downpour that wouldn't be out of place in August. EDIT: Just saw the p n' c from Sterling mentions "small hail."

Damn, the Tahoe webcam is down. At least for me.

Go to: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml They've got AFDs archived even back to 2003. Pretty complete archives for 2016 and 2009-10. Just use the drop-down menus.

You must have been inspired somewhat by the ongoing Sierra storm for this one! Here's an "off-the-reservation" AFD out of Reno this morning: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/TextProduct?product=afdrev They broke the "fourth wall" in some phrases for this edition. I'd think with something like you describe, the authorities would implement a curfew. Now there's an AFD that's be a keeper: "We'd urge people to stay inside during this weather emergency, but the authorities with their "shoot-on-sight" curfew have taken care of that one."

Thx for that. The (in)famous Parrs' Ridge shows up real well on it.

Snoweenitus is a perilous condition to have when you live inside the Beltway.

Yah just like I get to basically be in Montgomery County.

Liking the trend. I'm all in on the Tenleytown Massif reaching 5". And given the insomnia I've been having recently, I ought to be up for it. Watch tonight be the *one* night when I get continuous stage 3 sleep, though. So better stay up and drink so I'll be there, if not coherent, for the ETA.

BIg fat flakes with the best rates so far and the wind is ticking up. Observable stickage ought to commence soon. It may be now but it's hard to see out of my rain-covered window. EDIT It is sticking on car windows and *some* grassy weenie areas.

Flakes beginning to appear in up NW, but still mixy overall.

Wedges in Bermuda.

Well we can dream of booking a room at the Lodgepole Lodge in Sequoia NP. 4-6 feet of snow with 75 mph wind gusts forecast above 5000 feet. I think the Lodge (I've stayed there before; Sequoia might be my favorite place I've ever been) is around 6000 feet. Of course it's probably closed, but this would be worth breaking in for. Overall, one heck of a storm for central and southern CA.

Closest WU station to me got down to 15.

One thing about this storm: the shoveling session to accumulation ratio is out of hand. I've had .. what 4.5 to 5" ... and I've shoveled three times. Third time just now and then just stood there and zenned out. Hell, even during the blizzard with its 25", I think I only shoveled three times. Of course during that one I must have jebwalked about 10-12 miles that Friday night and all day Saturday. Haven't done that this time. Walked around the block a couple of times. I think, at least with me, the physicality of challenging a heavy prolonged windy snow is part of the allure. King Lear in the snow, ranting about the gods, and all that. Something more sedate like today (and the other day, as well) and I don't have the need ... or desire ... to go all forced-march mode.

And unlike many "legendary" things, it lives up to its hype!

They got it at Rodman's too. They have everything there. They're even selling booze now and not just wine and beer. Rodman's has been my life saver more times than I can count!

Looks like I may get a little love from Boomlet #2 after all? Re: refreeze tonight. That's why we postponed taking the kid up to uni in CNY until Sunday. Did not want to deal with conditions tomorrow morning, since we get up early to get there.