09-10 analogy

I know this has been asked a zillion times and I deeply apologize for doing it again, but what's the best free Euro site? Pivotal? Weather.us? There used to be a link here on the forums -- and there probably still is, just my ADHD-inundated brain won't allow me to search for too long. Too cheap and too ignorant on how to legitimately read models to fork over for the real thing.

Florida Man designed Florida Ave.

Winds really picking up with the pingers.

I could get used to this three snowfalls every 13 days pattern.

Somehow my side street claimed treatment priority right before it started snowing, so it's having a bit of trouble sticking on the street. Certainly nothing wrong with the rates; it's only slightly less intense than it snowed at the height of the Jan 3 storm. Getting ready to start making my spaghetti sauce. Peppers, onions, mushrooms, turkey sausage, meatballs, and LOTS of oregano and garlic. Usually I cook before the storm but not this time. EDIT: Just saw ST's pic of Conn Ave. My sidestreet is in much better shape. DC priorities ...

Started in upper NW.

Jessica rules.

yea, that feb 94 storm and 2007 Val day were the biggest sleet storms I can remember. Don’t think this one will rate. Me, I”m a bit over halfway to climo and peak snow season isn’t even here yet. So if this is a bust, I won’t stew in my slush juices. And after seeing the GoFundMeS, I think “slush” may be pushing it.

If that verifies, Binghamton NY will probably break their all time record they just set last year!

So my point-and-click now has a chance of wintery Sunday night as well as Thursday night. Laissez le bon temps rouler.

Wrapping up here, a shade under 8" (unofficial, ruler measures, no snowboard), so this meets my personal MECS threshold. Did better than I thought I would, even late last night, and a great storm for DC S/E.

Crowding 7" unofficially in upper NW DC. Not bad for about 7 hours. I don't think even Jan 2016 averaged an inch/hour.

More or less crushing snow right now. Time to go out and commune.

This is the turnaround storm, for sure.

And liquor.

So that's why there's all these supply-chain difficulties for Xmas presents.

The deadliest ever I could find was Vicksburg MS in 1953, with 38.

In a way, this seems more unprecedented than April 2011. NOT as bad overall, obviously, but certainly bad enough and maybe more anomalous? After all, you had April 1965 and 1974 as predecessor comparable events for April 27, 2011. April has probably had more tragic tornado outbreaks than any other month. But December? There doesn't seem to be anything like this on the record, except for the 1957 event I linked earlier -- 37 total, 1 F5, 3 F4s. But the fatality count there was 19. (From the wiki, a lot of those tornadoes were after dark, it seems.) Now, the governor of Kentucky, who's probably about as unimpeachable a source as you could get in the immediate aftermath of something like this, is speculating about more than 100 deaths (at least last I heard). With other fatalities in Arkansas and Tennessee. So, really, no comparison, at least using fatality count as the (ghoulish) metric for ranking outbreak severity. There are gonna be a lot of studies on this one, for certain. (Moved this from Mid Atlantic forum; seems more pertinent here.)

The way it just ripped apart and threw down the water tower, including the concrete supports ... just insane.

Getting serious Greensburg vibes from the videos from Mayfield. Just horrible. Worst-case scenario: a violent tornado consuming a town of some size in the middle of the night. Except Mayfield is considerably larger than Greensburg. Worst December tornado in the nation's history, perhaps, if these fatality estimates hold steady. The worst one I can think of previously was Vicksburg MS in 1953, 38 deaths. EDIT: Here's an outbreak in 1957 that affected the same general area (bullseyed a little bit to the north of last night's) in mid December, and it included an F5: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tornado_outbreak_sequence_of_December_18–20,_1957

distant rolling thunder, no visible lightning; steady rain soon as i typed just now, loudest thunder i've heard yet rain sounds like applause -- i think that's a tom waits line

Friday is the 20th anniversary of the college park F3 and other vortexinal curiosities (e.g., Tidal Basin F1, quick-hitting F4 near Culpepper) that day. I still remember how strong the winds were at my location (an RFD, perhaps?) as the supercell passed right to the east and the beautiful flanking line I was able to see with it, probably right around the time the tornado was hitting College Park.

That looked to be a multivortex as well, just like mullica hill, especially around 1:01 to 1:17 or so. ida exceeded Laura as a land falling hurricane, exceeded Ivan as a tornado producer for the Mid-Atlantic (if not for the DMV specifically) and seems to have rivaled Floyd (maybe even Agnes?) as a rain producer. Quite the trifecta. I was about to write that ida is the weather event of the 2020s, but then quickly remembered the Texas cold wave and storms and the NW heatwave. Both similarly extraordinary events. What a year for meteorological extremes. EDIT: Wrote this before looking at the SPC reports page that still shows only five TOR reports. Surprised there aren’t more.

Philly is the new OKC

So much for the idea that tornadoes from decaying tropical are “weak” spinups.