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09-10 analogy

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Everything posted by 09-10 analogy

  1. 09-10 analogy
    "Voltage": good way to refer to lightning. Can I steal it?
  2. 09-10 analogy
    Nice to know even the best in the business are still wx nerds at the core. I like the juxtaposition of "hurricane operations" with ALL the staff looking out the window at what was probably the definitive "garden-variety" thunderstorm. Thankfully there were no category 5s crawling up the Eastern Seaboard at the time. Actually, thinking about it, that would make an even better picture: Hurricane Iago, still at Cat 4 strength, ravaging the Bay, and all the mets are looking out the window at it rather than at their workstations.
  3. 09-10 analogy
    I'm hearing it up here.
  4. 09-10 analogy
    Happy hunting! And happy belated birthday. A side benefit chasing out there at least for me, is the scenery. Some might say “lack of” but that very starkness appeals to me.
  5. 09-10 analogy
    Run through it, if it's something benign! One of my fondest memories is my 30th birthday, my girlfriend (now my wife) and I went to Death Valley on August 21 (my birthday) when it was 122 in the shade at the Furnace Creek Visitor Center. Many dust devils. I pulled over to the side of the road and ran out into one and danced around. My gf thought I was crazy, which I was and am, but it's one of those things I'll never forget. Tried to get her to do it with me but she wouldn't. After we were married a few years later, I said I would have proposed to her while in the middle of a dust devil in Death Valley but I don't think she bought that.
  6. 09-10 analogy
    Looks to me that cell is slightly turning right and has a notch, if the new and improved LWX radar is anything to go by. Meanwhile, it's lighting up in general to DC's west so I'm hoping I'll at least see a little something.
  7. 09-10 analogy
    FWIW, SPC Mesoanalysis has a glob of supercell composite of 4 right over the I-95 corridor: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17# ETA: I guess the link doesn't go to the preferred option. Hmm... cell SW of Warrenton headed right into it.
  8. 09-10 analogy
    I can sweat, too. This is as hot as any day this year so far ... at least for me. Walked to the store to stock up for the holiday, came back carrying two large bags, halfway home, it was like I'd spent the weekend inside Niagara Falls. Should have driven ....
  9. 09-10 analogy
    When did that happen last, in your opinion? I know it's a totally subjective question. Please don't say "never." Offhand, I don't have a clue what the BRN or low-level shear was for the derecho; I know CAPE (j/kg-1) values were something ungodly, like 5500.
  10. 09-10 analogy
    Some decent CG no wind or anything though. Pretty heavy rain ETA: Close one there!
  11. 09-10 analogy
    Distant thunder and the western sky is gun metal color
  12. 09-10 analogy
    Bears repeating ...
  13. 09-10 analogy
    It's like the severe weather expy of Boxing Day. Not as traumatic, maybe, but ...
  14. 09-10 analogy
    The 2012 derecho -- I know, it's annoying that gets brought up every time there's a severe threat, but there's a reason here -- wasn't, IIRC, supposed to be the main event. That was supposed to be the next day. Well, this is the reverse. The main event will be tomorrow for immediate metros, not today as was thought. That's sound meteorological reasoning for you there.
  15. 09-10 analogy
    Trees do fall around here during severe weather and people have been killed. I'd WAG more people have died from straight line winds around here than from tornadoes, for instance. So it's not totally unwarranted to warn people of powerful thunderstorms ... probably has as much to do with how many trees we have (well, in NW DC at least, I'm as parochial as ever) than with the strength of the winds. Is today hype-worthy? Probably not, but we'll see. That question can only be answered in retrospect anyway. Anyway, plenty of sun right now. What I don't want is hail. Last time I went to the local auto body shop, I asked an innocuous question, and the p***k running the joint snapped at me for no discernable reason.
  16. 09-10 analogy
    Moderate rain a hour or so ago, now nothing, but distant rolling thunder when it's cloudy, which for some reason I love. Seems like the goods might be on my doorstep but I'm used to the LWX radar and it's down and I'm not rich like the rest of you folks to be able to afford the fancy stuff. If it was a killer band of snow just off to my north and west with me getting nothing, I'd be tearing my hair out (of course I shave my head so that's kinda irrelevant) but with convection, I can still hear the thunder and like I said, distant thunder with cloudy, humid weather is a nice vibe for me.
  17. 09-10 analogy
    Hard to get robust lapse rates and shear, and timing, all aligned together around here. But we don't get day 4 outlooked by SPC too often around here, either (not that northern parts of the sub are). EDIT: Not that it means anything, but this has been an aberrant June, what with all the tornadoes in the South (when their peak is usually well over by now) and then the tornadoes in Texas the other day. (I read somewhere that Texas hadn't had an (E)F4 after June 10th until this year, with Matador almost certainly being (E)F4 at least.)
  18. 09-10 analogy
    Yeah looks like that one's wide left for me. Hearing the rolling thunder from it, though. Loud booms with CG close strikes are great, but sometimes just that low rumbling is soothing ... at least to me. And since it's a holiday, and cloudy and muggy out, there's not much activity -- vehicle or pedestrian -- on the streets, so it's quieter than a normal summer evening here. Relative silence a nice aural-point to the thunder.
  19. 09-10 analogy
    Two rarities for this season today: humidity and the distant sound of thunder.
  20. 09-10 analogy
    Not good, right into the urban area. And during rush hour and holiday weekend traffic.
  21. 09-10 analogy
    Oh I have no problem with it at all, I find them informative reading too. It just struck me as unusual. But maybe it happens more than I think.
  22. 09-10 analogy
    There seems to be an awful lot of MDs out given there's no widespread severe outbreak going on. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/
  23. 09-10 analogy
  24. 09-10 analogy
    An MSS (mesoscale smoke system)? I mean, it's not convection, but it's horizontal dimension seems > 50 miles, and it sure is persistent.
  25. 09-10 analogy
    I'd say so. Even if there was some competition (which I can't think of, 2023 has to be the most boring year in recent memory up to this point), this is historically noxious air. (Even the fleeting Xmas cold wave was 2022.) Shame that's it coincided with such (otherwise) conventionally beautiful weather. This isn't exactly fun, but I'll probably remember it more than some 4-8" snowstorms (not that those occur anymore around here.) Kind of like the March 2018 long-term wind event: just very unique.
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