09-10 analogy

Several wedge tornadoes being reported in the vicinity of Lake Okeechobee. Lke this one

After the Orioles' dreadful performance, another dank and dreary day would kinda fit my mood this morning.

Hugo was 937 mb when it hit SC. Helene as of 5 pm was 951. It may surpass Hugo. But, still, comparable.

The comparisons to Hugo are pretty apt I think. Strengthening on the way in, booking along, and liable to hit a major metro area far inland hard. EDIT: One thing I just thought of, Hugo didn't seem to have a big affect on the southern Appalachians? I mean, like Helene is gonna blast them with.

If that's the road I'm thinking of, it's dicey in the best of circumstances. Couldn't pay me enough to travel on it now. (I used to co-own some property in Highlands so I'm a bit familiar with the area.)

I have an issue with water seepage in my basement, and am a firm believer in the superstition that if you mention something unpleasant enough, it won't happen, so every time there's a heavy rain, then like Pavlov's dogs, I drool "June 2006."

Yeah, usually this kind of overnight activity is one and done. This is the third period of heavy rain in an hour or so. I think this is related to the PRE to our south that's setting the table for the dangerous flooding in the southern Apps from the tropical system. I'd call it a PRE here but it seems decidedly uncertain at this point just how much of Helene's remnants affect the *immediate* DC weather.

Pretty heavy nocturnal rain shower in up nw. In fact, very heavy. Saw some flashes of lightning earlier but didn't hear thunder. Used to own some property in Western NC, near Highlands. I would not want to be there for the next 48 hours. There are some rather hairy mountain roads around there; I can't imagine trying to negotiate them in the kind of conditions they're forecasting. And it's not too often you see Eastern WFOs talk about the possibilities of landslides.

He pitched an eflin good game.

And I'd like to see the pitcher attrition rate diminish somewhat from that seen on the Western Front of WW1.

For all the dismay about the O's rather mediocre last month, according to Statcast, the 2024 O's rank number 8 in team offense *of all time*, according to the adjusted OPS+ metric. https://stathead.com/tiny/ssGZd Right there with the Big Red Machine from the 70s. Anthony is a big part of that.

Lots of small branches and leaf debris littering the streets around here. I guess those winds touching 40 mph earlier this morning made their mark.

Whiteout rain in up nw. Winds were gustier earlier this morning, though, around sunrise, when there was little rain to speak of.

Getting pretty ominous looking in up nw. I'd go out and try to find something, but a rainy rush hour in the midst of a major metro area isn't real condusive to chasing. And I don't want to get drenched going over to Fort Reno Park. Did that for Isaias and was decidedly underwhelmed.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 748 AM EDT Fri Aug 9 2024 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southwestern Prince Georges County in central Maryland... North central Charles County in southern Maryland... Southeastern Fairfax County in northern Virginia... * Until 815 AM EDT. * At 748 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 7 miles northwest of La Plata, moving north at 40 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Fort Washington, Fort Hunt, Groveton, Fort Belvoir, and Hybla Valley around 755 AM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Bryans Road, Mount Vernon, Hayfield, Potomac Heights, and Accokeek.