AccuChris
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Everything posted by AccuChris
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The HRRR just refuses to be impressed with any of this for these two waves. Has basically nothing precip-wise for the LSV today/tonight or for tomorrow night .
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FWIW, long range HRRR for wave #1 not very impressive .
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Long range HRRR says “meh” with tomorrow nights wave .
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Doesnt look bad this “far” out .
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Absolutely dumping in NYC right now .
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Another 18z GFS glacier run .
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Looks like I picked a good weekend to be in NYC…lets see how 3-5” of snow works out here .
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While the 18z Euro only goes out to hour 144, it looks very similar to the 18z GFS, FWIW .
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Why not .
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I have to justify my subscription cost lol .
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Well this is a fun 9 days upcoming lol .
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The 12z Euro Ensemble is just incredible. The GFS and Canadian suites also look similar .
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Its a tough call. Typically, the warm nose is under-modeled but the low level cold is always modeled too warm during the event. The latest HRRR paints more freezing rain than sleet and no snow. I think any snow is short-lived and maybe 1/2” of sleet then 0.2” of freezing rain. Looks to he pushing out of the area around 10am. .
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30/18 in Lebanon presently .
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Total kuchera snow through the period on the Euro .
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Latest HRRR putting down quite a bit of snow tonight .
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Well I was pretty close with my CTP guess for a WWA .
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I would be surprised if they went Winter Storm Watch. My guess is they will issue a WWA for LSV from noon Wednesday to noon Thursday for up to 1” of sleet/snow and 1 to 2 tenths of an inch of ice .
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Bring it on lol .
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Yes it is .
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0z NAM looks down right ugly with icing Thursday morning .
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Picked up a quick half inch here in Lebanon. Roads covered two separate accidents on 81 in the county .
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Steady snow now in Lebanon….easily a 1/4” so far .
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Flurries in Lebanon presently .
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12 Euro EPS is still very aggressive in a snowy period the next 2 weeks .
