BuffaloWeather

Awesome story! I grew up a Bills/Sabres fan and got into baseball cards very young with my best friend at the time and I got a few Derek Jeter rookie cards and shortstop was my favorite position so I became fans of Yankees at a very early age, didn't hurt that the team was good. I don't really have a basketball team, I do like the Bulls because of Jordan but don't really cheer for one team. Would love to go to Germany. I'm a big fan of castles and I hear there are tons of them over there.

For next week .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Brief reprieve from the cold and a period of active weather still on track. Trend that keeps showing up, now even in the ECMWF guidance, is a quicker return to cold and possible snow as early as Thursday. MOS guidance from GFS and ECMWF look pretty similar on Thursday now, at least over western NY. Still time to sort this all out though as there will likely be changes as this system is still over the Gulf of Alaska. On Tuesday, sfc low pressure crosses Ontario and James Bay. Warm front ahead of this may generate a few rain showers late as highs will reach the upper 30s to lower 40s (warmest calender day since Jan 19th). Cold front arriving later Tuesday night could also produce a few rain/snow showers. Cold front eases across into Wednesday. Broad jet in strong southwest flow aloft and Gulf of Mexico moisture coming into play will result in precip spreading along inverted trough over deep south toward the cold front that is in our region. Low-level thermal gradient overhead, so will carry a mix of rain/snow. Best chance of only snow will be over far western NY and across the North Country. Some snow accumulation could occur in these areas starting late Wednesday. Uncertainty increases into Wednesday night and Thursday, though one trend that is showing up is colder with better chance for snow on Thursday, especially western NY and North Country as low-level thermal gradient continues to trend farther east and southeast. Ptype in forecast is simple for now, just rain and/or snow or a mix of both. Certainly possible additional frozen precip (fzra, sleet) could occur as well depending on depth of cold air and where warm layer will reside over that cooler air at the sfc. No matter what, Gulf of Mexico moisture will be streaming into our region, so this system will need to be watched as if ptype is wintry, could be higher impact system. At least right now it does seem that the warmer and wetter impacts (flooding, ice jams) we were looking at a few days ago are diminishing for our area. Time will tell if these trends hold or if the thermal gradient trends west again. It could. Once this system passes by, cue the return of more arctic air which will arrive across the Great Lakes and northeast by next weekend.

3” frozen qpf in Ohio lol

Euro is going to be a big storm

I kind of want to see Tim in the off topic section vs Wxtrix. That would be something.

Troll is out in full force on NE forum tonight. Surprised Dendrite hasn't banned him lol

GEFS are further NW than OP.

Crushed. Lets sink that 50 miles south to get the rest of us in business.

lol same thought at same time.

Feel like I'm more worried about supression than too amped.

Definitely

Another storm right behind that one

Yeah its pretty close to GFS through 120. Either way warm up canceled, next week should be fun!

Are all you Central NY guys Rangers/Giants fans? I know some of you guys grew up there. What made you guys leave the big city?

I'm kind of sad right now Daboll deserved his promotion but if he takes Dorsey too, its going to sting. Josh Allen made him, but hes still a good coach.

You never want to be in jackpot zone 5 days before event. It's going to change quite a bit next few days.

Over 2" of QPF frozen here

That's a cool looking storm

Where did that 3 day torch go lol

Some very heavy snow across central NY

Yeah, that's going to be a massive hit on GFS.

Yeah, we're getting 100"

GFS lol