BuffaloWeather

Just finished the Blizzard of 1966 slideshow. Can't call me a homer, I did a Central NY storm before all the WNY ones. Really enjoyed doing this one. Love seeing all the old towns in CNY in the 1960s.

UK

Cool article I found. They've had snow recorded in every month except maybe August? A Memorial Day weekend storm piled three feet of snow on Whiteface in 2013, prompting some people to grab their skis. He pointed to the writing of the explorer Samuel de Champlain, who, after exploring the lake that would eventually bear his name in July 1609, wrote that he saw mountains to the east that were covered in snow. https://www.nytimes.com/2016/06/08/nyregion/snow-in-june-its-forecast-for-the-adirondacks.html

Go hiking in ADK. I once ran into a snowstorm on June 12th and many times see good snow in September.

I'm the same but I go to Mid March. Also December wasn't a winter month this year. So its only been 40 days of winter.

We're a go big or go home crowd.

Theres also no such thing as big storms in Toronto, so you should be fine

The only storms that matter are big storms...

Some freezing rain/sleet in there

Canadian is big hit for WNY

That line made it to the airport

GFS came back south, huge hit for Toronto, Goes right over Jamestown.

Band is pretty close to @Thinksnow18

Thats a nice band in Niagara county. About to enter Northern Erie.

Off Lake Erie... While there is significant ice cover on the lake as a whole, most of the open water is at the northeast end over the deep water west of Chautauqua County. There is likely more than enough open water and thin ice to support a lake response. The best setup will occur this evening when westerly flow aligns beneath the shallow inversion. This should allow for a band of lake effect snow to develop over southern Erie and western Wyoming counties, including some of the more distant Buffalo Southtowns. This is primarily based on pattern recognition, most of the high-res model guidance is likely under- forecasting this potential due to the impacts of observed ice cover on model physics. The band of snow will weaken and drift south into far southern Erie and western Chautauqua counties overnight as boundary layer flow weakens and becomes more sheared. Sunday expect snow showers to focus close to the lakeshore of Chautauqua and far southern Erie counties in very weak flow. As far as accumulations go, expect 3-5" across portions of Southern Erie County this afternoon through tonight, and 2-3" across western Chautauqua County. The forecast snow is falling over too long of a time period to reach advisory criteria. That said, if the band starts to organize better than expected this evening headlines may be required. Ice cover on Lake Erie is a wildcard late in the season, and wind today may be moving the ice and altering the location and size of open water areas. Looks like its setting up on WSW flow

That’s from 5 am

8-10" left here. But it has more to do with the recent pattern then climo. That big storm a few weeks back had loads of sleet in it.

It hit 63 in some places in Mass/Conn today.

Euro was almost there

Well its similar in that there is a high pressure pushing in from Canada. I don't see the multiple waves riding along the front like the last system had. There will be a very small area with snowfall, at least what the current guidance shows.

Very similar.

I think @DeltaT13 is up there this weekend looks like perfect conditions https://whiteface.com/mountain/webcams/#tab-whiteface

Whiteface hasn't done terrible this year SNOWFALL PAST 24 HRS:3 in LAST 7 DAYS:9 in BASE DEPTH:34 - 51 in SEASON TOTAL:123 in

I'll be up in ADK next weekend (hiking) and March 4-6 (skiing). So hoping for a more wintry trend.