BuffaloWeather

EPS is weaker and further SE.

Definitely possible. Still 2 days away.

Ice jam season. I'll be seeing Steve and Devin along the bridges.

Euro is really close

That band in orleans has been stationary for 3-4 hours. Probably some 6-10” totals there

If we miss Thursday/Friday we have a pretty potent clipper after that with some lake enhanced snow, then another cutter next week. First 2 weeks of March look good but far out.

Going skiing tonight with the buy 1 get 1 free. By end of next week its going to look ugly even at Holiday Valley. I count 4 days above 50 here in WNY.

1976-1977 was the worst winter in Buffalos history with 200" of snow recorded at the airport, with much more south of the city. It also had the blizzard of 1977 which gave the city its name. 1976-77 0 0 0 0.2 31.3 60.7 68.3 22.7 13.5 2.2 0.5 0 199.4

59-60 was a good winter here too. Double digit snowfall in 5 months Nov-March with a great February. 1959-60 0 0 0 T 12.2 14.2 18.3 49.5 19.5 1.9 T 0 115.6

Beautiful band sinking south off Ontario 2-3" per in that thing.

Rare but an avalanche occurred in the ADK a few days ago. AVALANCHE 2-12-22 A Large Avalanche Saturday at Noon in the Adirondack High Peaks on the Angle Slide (formed on the shoulder of Wright Peak in 2011 by Hurricane Irene) carried and completely buried 2 skiers. The D3 Avalanche started on a Northeast Slope at the 3500 foot elevation level and was approximately 100 feet wide at the start but quickly propagated wider and ran for 1500 feet. One skier was buried 1-2 feet below the surface and was able to free himself within 5 minutes. He was able to then locate the second skier (who was completely buried in an inverted position 4-5 feet below the surface) with his avalanche rescue beacon. The first skier proceeded to dig the second skier out with his avalanche rescue shovel. The second skier had been buried between 10 -15 minutes ,had shallow breathing and was not responsive. The second skier then began regular breathing and regained consciousness on his own as his partner continued to dig him out. Both skiers were otherwise uninjured , (had lost 3 buried poles and one buried ski ) and were able to make their way back to the trailhead 3 miles away. Avalanches of this magnitude are rare in the Adirondacks, but they can and will happen, and they can have life threatening results. Avalanches can happen to anyone. These skiers were well prepared, had all the proper gear, and when needed the first skier was able to save the life of the second skier. Luckily , the first skier was buried shallow enough to be able to dig himself out or this incident would have involved 2 fatalities. Avalanches can happen quickly and violently,even to the most experienced with all the proper training and gear......please be careful out there..... Lots of hikers, skiers, and riders on Slides these days....this is just a heads up warning.....if you are going to venture on Slides in the Winter: take an avalanche awareness or higher level course, carry the appropriate avalanche gear,make good decisions.....they were both lucky to walk away from this Skier Triggered Large Avalanche......

GFS

Check out lake Erie where an ice cutter ship went through the lake today. https://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/satellite-blog/archives/44646?fbclid=IwAR0uaXOZyQgtUdl2TjkAHUcvr2ksDWRdv90gABWjuFKPZfJ8M63m7_8Bjm0

Check this out. An ice cutter ship went through the ice this afternoon, follow the line. https://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/satellite-blog/archives/44646?fbclid=IwAR0uaXOZyQgtUdl2TjkAHUcvr2ksDWRdv90gABWjuFKPZfJ8M63m7_8Bjm0

GSB Cities The 2021 - 2022 Snow Season Normal Average to Date This Time Last Season Normal Seasons Average All Time Season Snowfall Record Buffalo 75.6 70.3 58.6 94.7 199.4 inches (1976 - 1977) Rochester 63.4 69.5 47.8 99.5 161.7 inches (1959 - 1960) Syracuse 47.6 90.0 51.4 123.8 192.1 inches (1992 - 1993) Binghamton 39.1 56.2 82.8 83.4 135.2 inches (2016 - 2017) Albany 17.1 38.5 49.3 60.2 112.5 inches (1970 - 1971)

My ideal winter climo.

40 and rain is worst to me. I'd rather cold and dry if snow cover for winter activities. I'd take 40 and sunny over cold and dry though.

I think Thursday the ice dams break if the GFS is correct.

I mean there is some sarcasm to it. I cheer for snow from Nov 1st-Mid March. My philosophy is if it isn't going to snow may as well be warm out. Cold/dry is the worst pattern, even Tughill agreed with this. I'm more of an extreme weather fan more than anything else. High winds, tornadoes, hurricanes, volcanoes, blizzards, I love them all almost equally. When most people here disappear from the forum in spring/summer I'm still really active in severe threads around AMX and especially during Hurricane season. The only thing that stands above them all for me is an extreme LES event. Summer is my favorite season though.

Gets Buffalo to 60