BuffaloWeather

Starting to get some LES off Erie drifting north

Maybe my ice storm comes

Euro is similar to the storm we just had, ice potential again

Yeah that storm next Friday has big dog potential if all goes right.

The extra game will help a lot

Yeah I’m only traveling to places without testing requirements. Had friends get stuck in Switzerland and Canada so far that I’ve known. Norway just removed them and that’s top 3 on my list. I’m sure more will be added soon. Cases are plummeting

I had a direct exposure in December for 2-3 hours closed office and close contact and never got any symptoms.

I think the first one is a miss northwest and second one hits us.

Lots of ice loss on Erie

KBUF calling for 4 pretty warm days Sun-Weds Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 42. Washington's Birthday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 46. Tuesday Showers. High near 51. Wednesday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42.

Totals, highest was 8.3" in Perrysburg https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF

Clipper has a chance to overproduce NE/E of lake erie tomorrow. I think models are overestimating ice coverage. Should be 1-3 hours of 1-2" per.

Excited to see Lake Erie image today. 2” of rain and warmth likely opened up half the lake

Heavy snow with the last band moving through

Flooding last night

NWS talking about issuing warnings I think there will be a brief timeframe of really heavy snow.

Our attention then turns to a rather potent clipper system, which will move from the Upper Great Lakes this evening to the Ottawa Valley by Saturday, with a trailing cold front crossing the eastern Great Lakes early Saturday morning. The clipper cold front will produce a burst of snow showers and possibly snow squalls with its passage. The clipper cold front will become lake enhanced northeast and east of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario, producing a few inches of accumulation across Western NY and the eastern Lake Ontario region late tonight and early Saturday. Cold air will quickly deepen behind the cold front, with lake induced equilibrium levels rising to around 10K feet over Lake Ontario with favorably deep cold air and moisture. The latest model guidance holds flow westerly over Lake Ontario for roughly 6 hours on Saturday. Given the favorable thermodynamics and convergence down the long axis of Lake Ontario, expect a band of heavy lake effect snow to develop. The band will briefly cross Jefferson County including Watertown in the morning, then focus on the central Tug Hill from mid to late morning through late afternoon before moving south across Oswego County and weakening by early evening. CIPS analogs, pattern recognition, and high-res guidance suggests the potential for warning criteria snow amounts on the Tug Hill Saturday. With this in mind, a Winter Storm Watch for lake effect snow has been issued east of Lake Ontario. The clipper will also produce strong wind gusts Saturday. Winds will peak near the cold frontal passage over and northeast of Lake Erie Saturday morning, with gusts of 45+ knots possible. Forecast soundings show enough wind aloft to potentially support a brief period of low end warning criteria gusts across Western NY, but the fact that the low begins to fill as it passes our longitude suggests an advisory event. Regardless, it will be very windy and the combination of a few inches of snow and strong winds will produce extensive blowing snow. It will stay windy through the afternoon, but gusts will come down to around 35 knots or so areawide.

What time you think will have the best band going across tug tomorrow? Want to time it best I can.

Pretty strong clipper for tomorrow with lake enhancement

Gotta get props to KBUF for this event. They called the very little freezing rain. It transitioned to sleet quickly and snowfall amounts were spot on. Great forecast. The models spitting out FZA were all wrong.

KBUF was spot on in their 3-5" call Niagara county

After almost 2" of rain picked up more snow than I thought 3.5" of slush when I measured this morning.

All snow here

@SouthBuffaloSteve Loved the timelapse! Went to the gym instead of chasing ice. I'm not patient enough to sit there until it unleashes.

Heavy sleet outside right now.