BuffaloWeather

Tyler Seguins house got hit by that tornado.

The Peruvian glaciers at this location 14000 feet where I am standing, looking up to over 19,000 are melting extremely quickly. https://earthsky.org/earth/disappearing-peruvian-glaciers

The Peruvian glaciers at this location 14000 feet where I am standing, looking up to over 19,000 are melting extremely quickly. https://earthsky.org/earth/disappearing-peruvian-glaciers

I'm back from exploring Peru, a magical place in which the elevation kills you. Also contracted a parasite that shut me down for 2 days down there. Otherwise a fantastic trip! Decided against going to rainbow mountain due to advice on here! Video: https://imgur.com/BUYpueS

I'm back from exploring Peru, a magical place in which the elevation kills you. Also contracted a parasite that shut me down for 2 days down there. Otherwise a fantastic trip! Video: https://imgur.com/BUYpueS

The average High/Low today is 61/44, by last day of the month its 53/38. Once it hits November lake effect snow season starts. Can't believe how quick it came upon us.

What I'm seeing in the Ensembles is a very transient pattern the next few weeks. I would say we end up around average for the month for temps.

Such a beautiful day out right now. Took the dog for a walk on lunch. Still shorts and tshirt weather.

That is insane to me. I don't think Buffalo has ever experienced anything like that. I'd probably instantly get a sinus infection. Summer to mid winter in 15 hours.

Average first flakes are on the 25th for Buffalo and sooner for those in the Tug region.

Crazy

Yeah that is going to mess with the longwave pattern.

Sets up a nice LER event.

Legit snowstorm in Minnesota this weekend.

Courtesy of @dendrite from New England forum. I don't think it has the last few years of data added yet.

First snow in the dacks

Almost all of Buffalos best snowfall years come in Neutrel/Weak Enso conditions +/- 1 STD.

From past weekend hammock camping in the Adirondacks

From this last weekend camping in the dacks

Nice lake effect rain setup

Yeah that is correct, but also because Lake Erie is usually frozen by late January. Ontario it does not matter as much as it's so deep and never has to worry about freezing.

The single most important thing to look for is cold air. If you get that over warm lakes you get clouds and thus lake effect. Everyone's definition of a "big time" event is different. For us in lake effect belts our definition is somewhere around 30-35"+ from one single event. In other regions that is virtually unattainable. Many posters even in this sub forum may have a different characterization of what a big event is. Many include wind, temp, wind chill, snow depth into the factoring of what is considered a big event. A large event for me would be 1-2' of snow. A big time event 30"+

According to the ENSO thread the top match is 69-70 winter which gave Buffalo 120.5" of snow. 1969-70 0 0 0 1.0 22.1 23.4 38.0 21.9 12.6 1.5 T 0 120.5