BuffaloWeather

Watch us get suppressed in early Nov. That would be something, snow to our south. That's a strong high, it's the likely solution.

So much rain, probably some cool waterfalls right now coming off the mountains.

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches in the most persistent lake snows. * WHERE...The higher terrain of Chautauqua and Cattaraugus counties. * WHEN...From 8 PM EDT Saturday to 1 PM EST Sunday. * WHAT...Lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches in the most persistent lake snows. * WHERE...The Tug Hill Plateau in Oswego, Jefferson, and Lewis counties.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BUF&product=PNS&format=CI&version=3&glossary=0 66 in Buffalo 67 in Oswego Like you said the extremely saturated ground compounded the problems. Most places received over 2" of the rain yesterday. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BUF&product=PNS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0

Just lost power at work for 15 minutes, back on now.

Could you pm me what the company's name is? We have 3 quotes on getting it fixed properly. What materials did you use?

Holiday valley looks to be white.

A portion of my $8000 vinyl fence fell apart due to the wind. I had it installed in late August. I think it was due to me hiring a con artist contractor (friend of a friend) to do the work more then the strength of the winds. We are going to small claims court against him. A life lesson earned the hard way, always do your research before doing anything on your home. Home advisor, BBB, facebook reviews, etc...A $4,000 mistake.

Snowy Halloween in the midwest, Chicago area getting 3-5" earliest and highest snowfall in their history.

Next weekend is going to be cold, highs in the low/mid 30s.

@DeltaT13 Midnight sunday evening. That's a LES band if I'm looking at temps correctly?

Late Friday into early Saturday looks interesting for lake effect. Going to be a close call for temps. If rates are strong enough it can cool the atmosphere enough for snow.

That was a crazy game 7. Houstons pitching fell completely apart. They had 4 new pitches within 3 innings and every one of them gave up a run. I was happy they won too, hoping next year yanks get some pitching.

Took this yesterday at a local park with my drone. The upcoming wind will take the rest of the leaves off the trees this week.

Took this yesterday at a local park

It will then become interesting Saturday night and Sunday...as a fresh shot of cold air in the wake of the aforementioned cold front will open the door for a more pronounced lake response. A well aligned westerly flow should enable fairly well organized lake bands east of both lakes...with wet snow being the primary p type. While it is a little early to get specific about snowfall amounts...it would not take much to envision several inches of snow accumulating over the Tug Hill and portions of the Southern Tier. Stay tuned for this one. LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As the next potent shortwave digs out another trough over the Upper Great Lakes Friday night and Saturday...the steering flow will back more to the southwest. This will direct mixed rain and wet lake effect snow showers northward into the BUF metro area and also across the northern parts of Jefferson county early Saturday before changing to all rain by afternoon. The robust shortwave will plow across the Lower Great Lakes Saturday night. The associated lake enhanced pcpn could include a short period of steady wet snow that will have the chance to accumulate on mainly elevated surfaces...although that will also be determined by the intensity. In either case...the mixed pcpn within a southwest flow will push south overnight in the wake of the aforementioned shortwave. During this period broad upper level troughing will become established across the eastern two thirds of the continent...and will help to feed colder air across our region into the start of the new work week. Such an airmass will easily be cold enough to support a lake response downwind of both lakes. A cold southwest flow on Sunday will support mixed rain and wet snow showers...mainly in the snowbelts south of Buffalo and Watertown.

Next weekend looks interesting for LES/synoptic. Should be cold enough for all snow by that time.

He’s a terrible poster and always says a huge storm and the pv is constantly coming. Even in a super nino. I would never quote that guy, stick to the Mets and more knowledgeable posters.

I think the first 2 weeks end up below normal, the last 2 above normal. Kind of wish it was the opposite as we're still a little bit too early for good LES.

Otherwise...it will be notably colder on Friday with H85 temps averaging -5c not allowing near sfc temps to recover more than the low to mid 40s f. The cold air within the cyclonic flow will support a fairly pronounced lake response during the first half of the day...then as the synoptic moisture is peeled away...the mixed rain and snow showers will taper off through the afternoon. As the next potent shortwave digs out another trough over the Upper Great Lakes Friday night and Saturday...the steering flow will back more to the southwest. This will direct mixed rain and wet lake effect snow showers northward into the BUF metro area and also across the northern parts of Jefferson county. Its worth noting that while it will be chilly enough to support a lake response...the general lack of synoptic moisture should preclude any significant precipitation. This may change Saturday night though...as the robust shortwave will plow across the Lower Great Lakes. The associated lake enhanced pcpn could include a short period of steady wet snow that will have the chance to accumulate on mainly elevated surfaces...although that will also be determined by the intensity. In either case...the mixed pcpn within a southwest flow will push south overnight in the wake of the aforementioned shortwave.

Initially...the relatively dry nature of the colder air will probably only result in a limited lake response east of the lakes Friday night into early Saturday. After that time...an increase in background moisture associated with the approach and passage of a surface trough (and attendant upper level trough axis) should result in the activity becoming at least somewhat better organized for the Saturday-Sunday time frame. While wind directions and consequent lake effect placement remain difficult to pin down this far out in advance...during this 36 hour period...generally backing flow out ahead of the trough should send the activity northward to areas northeast of the lakes Saturday... with veering winds in its wake shunting the activity back south to the traditional lake effect areas east of the lakes Saturday night and Sunday. The most likely time for lake effect showers is Saturday night into Sunday morning, with the increase in moisture from the shortwave. Temperatures will be marginally cold enough to support snow, with accumulating snows possible in this time frame. Although many spots may see the first snow flakes of the season, any accumulation is likely to be confined to higher terrain inland from the lakes. this period will feature mainly dry weather and temperatures averaging solidly below normal...with daytime highs in the 40s and nighttime lows ranging in the lower to mid 30s.