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BuffaloWeather

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Everything posted by BuffaloWeather

  1. BuffaloWeather
    I'll start one tonight so it can say Dec 1st. Start of Meteorological winter!
  2. BuffaloWeather
    Probably a good time to start a new thread?
  3. BuffaloWeather
    Boston suburbs are going to get smoked with that Euro run. The system stalls out and intensifies. 20"+ totals. Also potential for those totals around Albany.
  4. BuffaloWeather
    I'll be in Florida 12/15 to 12/19 so plan on a big LES event while I'm gone.
  5. BuffaloWeather
    Nothing big, but there is potential for a few inches during the next 2 weeks. Mid to late Dec is time frame I'm looking at for things to change as I mentioned a few weeks ago.
  6. BuffaloWeather
    Looking much better from central NY into NE, still lots of uncertainty with this one. Bills are 9-3, best Thanksgiving of all time!
  7. BuffaloWeather
    Happy thanksgiving all!
  8. BuffaloWeather
    Quite windy over here too. Being at the northeast end of a long lake we must get 5-10 high wind warnings a year.
  9. BuffaloWeather
    Marquette getting slammed with LES band after 12"+ of synoptic and another WSW in effect for next storm with LES to follow. 40-50" in a week over there.
  10. BuffaloWeather
    Marquette proper getting slammed with a thin LES band.
  11. BuffaloWeather
  12. BuffaloWeather
    EPS will start a new thread Dec 1st. Nothing really happening next few days aside from high winds.
  13. BuffaloWeather
    Yeah, they've been pretty terrible. But it's so early in the season. December is an actual winter month where things start to happen. (Usually)
  14. BuffaloWeather
    That line that just moved in meant business. Shelf cloud along with the entire sky turning dark. Very high winds and rain right now.
  15. BuffaloWeather
    Some nice blocking on GEFS
  16. BuffaloWeather
  17. BuffaloWeather
    I like the RGEM for lake effect events, but its useless for synoptic.
  18. BuffaloWeather
    Statistics don't lie, the Euro is the far superior model to the others. And yes it did...
  19. BuffaloWeather
    I'm just not a fan of its wild inconsistency. I think a blend of GFS, EURO, UK, CMC and within 48 hours the NAM is the best course to take. (especially for lake effect) Euro usually scores as it has the highest model verification scores followed by the UKIE, GFS, and finally CMC.
  20. BuffaloWeather
    I'm going to need some vids bo.
  21. BuffaloWeather
    A typical greenland block is active and good (Negative NAO). However, we do not have greenland blocking the next few weeks. There are signs of it reloading in mid december. Also signs of a -AO https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/forecasts/reforecast2/teleconn/forecast.html https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.shtml
  22. BuffaloWeather
    Finally figured out how to block someone on this forum, didn't realize this forum had that feature. GEFS GEPS
  23. BuffaloWeather
    If the NAO was negative the low would go north into Canada. In this instance, there is weak blocking pushing it south. IE:
  24. BuffaloWeather
    GEFS Mean is way south.
  25. BuffaloWeather
    This setup screams dry slot/thermal issues/qpf issues
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