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BuffaloWeather

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Everything posted by BuffaloWeather

  1. Euro over the last 5 years has a pretty large percentage lead over every other model, nothing really comes close to it. GFS is actually 3rd to the UKIE. This was written in 2016, but GFS was actually in 4th place for awhile. https://arstechnica.com/science/2016/06/the-us-weather-model-is-now-the-fourth-best-in-the-world/
  2. Rochester are the cheatriots...I mean Patriots of the Golden Snowball, no shame either. They took over for Erie.
  3. Buffalo is -13.8" for snowfall departure and +9.9 for temps.
  4. Alrighty Tug, the posters from Upstate have come together and we've decided to take executive action to kick you out of NYS. We wish you good fortune in your future endeavors.
  5. End of EPS show the SE ridge breaking down a little bit. Normal for the next 6 weeks is equivalent to snow as normal temps are cold enough.
  6. Euro and its ENS are only model that matters. Toss the goofus, iconic garbage, and north american rubbish. With how rich this country is, how does the Euro invest more into its weather forecasting then we do? SMH. Oh yeah, we're too busy getting involved in every war that is going on in the world.
  7. There is that band that I posted last night, just 50 miles too far south. Still picked up an inch overnight.
  8. It's already fired up. Go look at the radar. This has it as well.
  9. This thing is going to be so close to me, I may set my alarm early to grab it. You can see it near Sarnia Ontario https://weather.gc.ca/radar/index_e.html?id=CASET
  10. CFS weeklies predicted a cold January, after never seeing them predict cold in all my years of tracking weather for winter. To finally do it in what is going to be a record warm month, I'm tossing.
  11. March 2012 says hi, even though I thoroughly enjoyed it. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/national/201203 Whenever Alaska is cold, we are warm and vice versa.
  12. There is still potential in the D10+ range. But that is so far out. EPS suggest some help from the Pacific in D10-15 with +PNA, but the Atlantic is still garbage. Would put us in a more favorable gradient pattern then where we are currently.
  13. Yeah, this isn't last year. The long range looks terrible compared to last year at this time where nearly all signs pointed to a big change. I don't see it yet. There will be a relax in the current regime, but no arctic cold anywhere to be found in the GL.
  14. Right over my house! I'm going to be up for this. Could be the highest snowfall rates of the winter, that's not saying too much.
  15. This is the 3rd or 4th straight year of below normal winters in the Montana region. Rebuilding that glacier back?
  16. We really need to get that real cold over here to get some LES going. No real mechanism with the terrible atlantic.
  17. Jan 10-17 look very warm. Highs in the 40s/50s lows in the mid/upper 30s. After that I think the pattern breaks down a little bit. Next week is historically the coldest week of the year.
  18. That's so weird. Pats haven't had good WRs since Moss. I guess Edelman too, but Brady makes everyone look good.
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