Jump to content

BuffaloWeather

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    25,664

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by BuffaloWeather

  1. BuffaloWeather
    Who is using the Icon. SMH
  2. BuffaloWeather
    Looks like good wrap around and moisture for awhile after departing low transfers with lake enhancement.
  3. BuffaloWeather
    Perfect storm to lay a nice base for the next few weeks. Will make it actually feel like winter if it comes to fruition.
  4. BuffaloWeather
    Euro is coming in south, looks like a big hit?
  5. BuffaloWeather
    Kind of like this.
  6. BuffaloWeather
    Definitely a storm to watch there.
  7. BuffaloWeather
    I think you're right with the initial surge of cold air, but still think the longwave trough sets up from Dakotas to NE by the end of the month and sticks for a bit.
  8. BuffaloWeather
    Yeah, but most mild winters are mild for the majority of them. We don't have a strong Nino/NIna dictating something like that this year. I expect us to have a pretty cold 2nd half of winter. We get a full month of arctic air and a wide open lake and anything can happen, although still unlikely.
  9. BuffaloWeather
    With an unfrozen lake it won't be. Usually by this time the lake is 70% frozen. One event and we could be at our seasonal total. It's still in the 40s and unlikely to freeze at all this year.
  10. BuffaloWeather
    My Sunday Update, pattern change still coming? A few chances at synoptic snow, and a good chance for LES. (Flow mainly NW) CPC analogs: January 23rd setup GFS ENS Jan 21-28: EPS on the other hand shows a quick glance at cold weather, but no real pattern change. CIPS ANALOGS: And finally CPC
  11. BuffaloWeather
    It's tough to recover from a virtually snowless Dec 15-Jan 15th time period. That's prime climo, especially for Buffalo for big snows. Once you hit late March highs start to be in the 40s, need well below average temps to make it happen. We have a 4-6 week window to basically get 100" of snow, unlikely to happen.
  12. BuffaloWeather
    The system went much farther NW then expected. Toronto received 3" of rain.
  13. BuffaloWeather
    A whole lot of trash in 12z runs. Zzzzzzzzz
  14. BuffaloWeather
    The flip wasn't supposed to occur until Jan 19-21st, around that timeframe.
  15. BuffaloWeather
  16. BuffaloWeather
    Just woke up to had to be 70++ mph gust
  17. BuffaloWeather
    I still think the pattern change is coming as we see with the GEFS and EPS, just might be delayed a few more days. Nearly everything is showing it including analogs and it's not so far out to make it unlikely to occur.
  18. BuffaloWeather
    I plan on ice skating the adirondack mountains feb 21-23. Everything better be a giant glacier by then.
  19. BuffaloWeather
    This is why the clipper pattern is the best pattern. You don’t get torches Or even thaws. You get constant snow every couple days. It makes it feel like winter. You may not get the whopper synoptic system but imo it’s worth it. You can still get big time les in that pattern too.
  20. BuffaloWeather
    Temps aloft would support ice/sleet with that path for all of us. Those are surface temps
  21. BuffaloWeather
    Long range starting to look worse last few runs. After today, I may be ready for spring soon.
  22. BuffaloWeather
    Hit 67, the 7th highest Jan temp on record. highest since 2005. +37 temp departures today. The opposite would be a high of -7. LOL
  23. BuffaloWeather
    We beat the record by 2 degrees for today. 61 was the record set back in 2018. Jan 25/26 of 1950 hit 72 and 70 degrees. Talk about a heat wave.
  24. BuffaloWeather
  25. BuffaloWeather
    Transition as the Pacific slowly improves.
×
×
  • Create New...