BuffaloWeather

Welcome back Lee.

I'm officially tossing until February.

Cold air is parked over Alaska. As it has been all year.

If wolf is tossing we're all tossing.

I prefer seasons in seasons. By late March average highs are in the upper 40s. These warm Dec/Jans are the worst.

Following the passage of this system...the aforementioned ridge will then build directly across our region and bring about a return to mainly dry weather for Monday and Tuesday...while temperatures will remain a bit above late January normals. Looking a bit further out beyond the end of this period...it appears as if the warmer than average temps should continue through at least the end of the month...with the GFS/GEM/ECMWF all in agreement on keeping any notable cold air bottled up well to our north over northern Canada. We've had a good lake effect band here once all winter and it was very transient. The November storm is still my biggest of the year.

I've seen some on NE and Mid Atlantic?

Where did that come from? We've been having fun with the models this year all night. All in good fun.

End of GFS is trolling again.

Another elevation driven event, followed by a super cutter. Theme of the season.

Can we lock this in?

That's what winter is all about right there.

I'll take that bet. Rochester wins this year. This was from the last storm they reported 9.2".

Perrysburg is at 106" on the season. Holiday Valley is at 101". What is Carol at? I'm pretty sure Holiday averages about 180" a year, so they are on track. @TugHillMatt Springville is at 100" on the year.

My only hope at a normal season. If this happened this year it would be November 2014 deja vu with a wide open lake.

I take that back, a few places are.

I'm surprised we're not worst off in the snowfall dept. Besides Rochester no one in the GL and NE is above average aside from the Upper Peninsula. Calumet is over 200" on the year with 4-5' depth. The Cutters have really helped them.

Far too warm.

GFS keeps an extremely active storm track. Albeit with very little cold air.

Beautiful. Can't wait to go in a month. Hopefully there is a couple feet of snow on the ground by then.

Average temps start to increase on Jan 25th here. We see those type of anomalies in another month and we're talking high 40s/50s.

Our source region for cold air continues to torch the next 10+ days

Above freezing for highs the next 6 days after tomorrow. Wednesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 34. Thursday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. Friday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42.. Saturday Cloudy, with a high near 37. Sunday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. Monday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35.

Looks like the winners of this event NEW YORK ...Cattaraugus County... Perrysburg 19.4 1000 PM 1/19 Co-Op Observer ...Erie County... 3 WSW Java Village 21.5 600 AM 1/20 48 hour storm total

Can care less about these lame synoptic systems. Where is my lake effect?