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BuffaloWeather

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Everything posted by BuffaloWeather

  1. BuffaloWeather
    nice rainer on the GFS
  2. BuffaloWeather
    It can't be +5-10 above normal for every month for the entirety of winter in a Neutral Enso, can it? Would be the first ever. EDIT: 1952-53 was a weak Nino with 55" of snow at KBUF. Weak Ninos average the highest snowfall of any ENSO type at Buffalo.
  3. BuffaloWeather
    Still targeting that Feb 4-8th time frame for the pattern flip.
  4. BuffaloWeather
  5. BuffaloWeather
    Around 50 here and bright sunshine. Feels like late April.
  6. BuffaloWeather
    Well if you get the cold air in Upstate you get lake effect. Not the best synoptic look. Way too far out to see if it has any staying power or not.
  7. BuffaloWeather
    A good look
  8. BuffaloWeather
    Right over Carols house
  9. BuffaloWeather
    Mine is Feb 21-23rd. Hoping for some colder weather by that time.
  10. BuffaloWeather
    Last week of GFS look good.
  11. BuffaloWeather
    Weird look
  12. BuffaloWeather
    What is that 3' of snow over my house? I'll take 1-2" of slop with 2" of rain. 60 MM over my place.
  13. BuffaloWeather
    None of it makes any sense, I don't see any correlation between anything. Think I'm going to stick to the 1-2 week outlook from now on.
  14. BuffaloWeather
    I'm assuming that warm pool of water near Alaska has caused all of this?
  15. BuffaloWeather
    Are temps cold enough for that?
  16. BuffaloWeather
    Look at the airmass for Feb 3rd across the Conus...Neutral ENSO and you can still get a raging Pacific Jet.
  17. BuffaloWeather
    2" of QPF and most of it is going to be rain over my place in late Jan...
  18. BuffaloWeather
    GEFS AND GEPS have it too
  19. BuffaloWeather
    As the pattern is boring for the next 10 days. I'll be posting some stuff way out there, and hope its still there as we get closer.
  20. BuffaloWeather
    The GEFS break down the Alaska vortex around the Feb 4th-5th. Is a one shot and done or a pattern change? Too far out to know. But we will get some cold air around that date. Until then, the pattern favors strong synoptic development and a track near our region, but with no cold air it will all be elevation dependent.
  21. BuffaloWeather
  22. BuffaloWeather
    Might be too late in the season though. Last year we saw one in late Dec/Early Jan that brought the arctic air in late jan/early feb. I think Feb 4-7th is the pattern change. If not around that time period, all is lost.
  23. BuffaloWeather
    76656
  24. BuffaloWeather
    Feb 5th.
  25. BuffaloWeather
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