Their registry has been sent back to June of 2016
1037 AM EDT WED JUN 29 2016 THE WATER TEMPERATURE OFF BUFFALO IS 70 DEGREES.
1037 AM EDT WED JUN 29 2016 THE WATER TEMPERATURE OFF ROCHESTER IS 70 DEGREES.
Until this year I didn't realize we need the polar vortex to split to get any lake effect snow. Or is this year just an anomaly of the "one eyed pig" in Alaska similar to 2011-12?
In a normal winter I feel like we should get cold enough to get lake effect snow without help from the PV. But this year that has been impossible. Worst lake effect year of all time including 2011-2012 and long range doesn't show enough cold air in the next 2 weeks for anything either.
2011-2012 had 8 LES events. I think we are at 2 this year?
1997-98 had 4 LES events, that is the least since 1994.
https://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=1997-1998&event=D
Yeah that GFS run would save the winter here. 3-4' of LES followed by synoptic storm and another LES event. Tossing it though. Fool me once, fool me twice, fool me 69 times this year in the long range. TOSS!
Yeah for me my favorite winter months are Dec/Jan. Storms in Feb and especially March just don't do it for me unless they are large ones. If we got another Feb 2007 or March 2008 that would be a different story.