BuffaloWeather

There was a high peak called big slide. We were the only ones on the entire trail. On the way down you can slide all the way down, literally one of the most fun things I've ever done in my life. https://imgur.com/a/BThJPhr

Well my winter fix has been satisfied. Definitely my favorite trip ever to the Adirondacks. 30-50" of snow on our hikes up to the peaks. Winds at the top of the one peak had to be over 80 mph. By far the strongest winds I have ever experienced in my life, nothing comes even close. We did a sunrise hike the first day.

So much snow up here. Has to be 3’ depth.

GEFS

https://wyrk.com/heavy-snow-likely-for-wny-next-week-localized-lake-effect-too/?fbclid=IwAR0kDG_k43y4gJYG72u__oONlbkdCctBcAvYMWSI4D2_UebwdN86H4j0ttU

This is why I stopped watching all 3 stations.

We do not have the cold air anywhere near us to get that kind of LES, but synoptic has a possibility. That next storm is going to be pretty strong. I like Rochester to Syracuse as usually for a storm track like this. Still way to early to even begin tracks yet though. Doesn't hit for a week.

Top analog is Feb 13-16 2007 After a little research We had a 12-18" snowfall and then this LES event https://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=2006-2007&event=M This relatively modest event came on the heels of the season's most widespread synoptic event on 13-14 February which dropped a solid 12 to 18 inches across most of the region, especially the Finger Lakes and Genesee Valley. A northwest flow followed this storm and set up some narrow but intense bands from far northeast Wayne County into Oswego County. The activity weakened and sheared out by mid morning of 16th as wind fields became unfavorable.

That next system has some pretty insane potential.

Leaving for the adirondacks tomorrow. Saturday morning we are going to sunrise hike cascade and porter. (Overnight hike) Then go out on the lake after to ice skate, then sunday we are gonna do another high peak. Looks like sunshine and 20s for the trip. Should be a fun couple of days!

A good case study on which model is better. GEFS vs EPS

Sorry Wolf you gotta take one for the team

6-10" call was spot on

A few places recorded 65" in 24 hours during that (South Cheektowaga/Lancaster) and rates of 7-8" per at some points. I measured over 88" of snow between both storms here, max snow depth was 52", first storm my depth was 36". Received 50" total.

Yeah doesn't include Nov 2014 in there which rivals quite a few of those

This should get the lakes firing

That's a nice 3 lake connection showing up. 2-3" per in that thing, very transient though.

Long range looks good

I'll be in Adirondacks this weekend, looks like snow depths are 40-60" across the high peaks. Should be a good time.

I love how florida I can wear shorts and tshirt at night and never even get a chill in the air. I love humidity lol. Those types of nights are rare in WNY but whenever we get them I try to go for a night walk.

Yeah my aunt is from Buffalo but has been down in south Florida for 10 years and wears a hoodie for anything under 70-75 degrees lol. There is something about palm trees, humid air, the sun, and the breeze from the ocean that lifts my spirits though. It gives me energy.

That's a great article. So global warming would actually help weaken the PV and lead to more arctic intrusions in a normal winter? That's interesting.