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Everything posted by BuffaloWeather
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Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Green grass to 5 feet of snow -
Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The winds were really wiping near exit 57 over the bridge to the i90 thruway -
Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Not sure why truck drivers think they can drive through this stuff. I was so tired at this point I just left that guy hanging lol. -
Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Winter 2022/23 Lake Effect Snow Thread
BuffaloWeather replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Yes, cocarahs spotter -
Winter 2022/23 Lake Effect Snow Thread
BuffaloWeather replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
We got hit harder in Hamburg then op if you look at radar. I think I’ll be around 65” or so next measurement -
Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Derby has 64” -
Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Im in a much better spot then orchard park for this event. -
Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It seems locked in place until the predawn hours. With snowfall rates of 3-5" per hour there is potential. -
Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/... ...Intense Lake Effect Snow Continues... Two intense plumes of lake effect snow with snowfall rates of at least 2-3 inches per hour will continue northeast of the lakes through tonight. Periodic thundersnow will remain possible near the lakes through tonight, as well as areas of blowing snow with winds gusting to 35 mph. Lake Erie snow band remains generally steady state this afternoon with the main axis of the band from the shoreline of Chautauqua county inland through southern Erie county into western Wyoming/southern Genesee counties. There may be some northward oscillation through late afternoon, reaching the city of Buffalo and the Airport at times, but for the most part the band should remain where it is through at least mid evening. It continues to look like the areas north of the city of Buffalo and the Airport will receive little in the way of snowfall, at least through mid to late evening. Snow bands focused across Jefferson and northern Lewis counties will remain locked in through most of tonight with only slight southward oscillations. A much deeper shortwave will drop into the base of the long wave trough over the western Great Lakes tonight, with steering winds starting to back to more south-southwest. This will drive the plume of lake snow up through Buffalo and Watertown and towards Niagara County and the Saint Lawrence River by Saturday morning. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY/... Lake effect snow off Lake Erie... An intense plume of lake snow should be ongoing Saturday morning, likely targeting the city of Buffalo, the Buffalo Northtowns and Batavia. Steering flow will continue to back to through the day with the lake band weakening as it moves across Niagara County and western portions of Orleans county before settling along or west of the Niagara River. Snowfall rates will likely remain impressive early Saturday with rates of 2"/hr, but should drop off to no more than an inch per hour by Saturday afternoon. Another shortwave will move across the region Saturday night, with winds shifting to the southwest and eventually the west in its wake. This will push the snow band back across the Buffalo metro area, with a modest intensification likely due to the longer fetch in the SW flow and with moisture from the shortwave. Snowfall rates of 2- 3"/hr can be expected, however the band will be mobile which will limit additional snow accumulation amounts. Expect most areas to get 6 - 9 inches as this moves through. Will maintain the warnings for Northern Erie and Genesee given the short time gap. A Winter Storm Watch will remain in place for Chautauqua and Southern Erie where there will be about an 18 hour break between the snows. By Sunday morning a WNW flow will direction the remaining lake snows across the Western Southern Tier, with just some lingering snow showers elsewhere. This may allow the warnings for N Erie and Genesee to be dropped early. However, there still will be lingering impacts from the storm Sunday with winds gusting to 35 mph causing blowing and drifting snow. Also, it will be a bit colder by then so snow Saturday night will be drier and more prone to drifting. Lake effect snow off Lake Ontario... Similar to Lake Erie, winds will back to the south-southwest and direct the lake band across far northern Jefferson County and even across the St. Lawrence and into Canada for a time. This will provide a break for Watertown Saturday afternoon and evening. Winds will shift to the southwest late Saturday night, causing the band to intensify as it taps into Lake Erie moisture and moves back southward. Snowfall rates of 2"/inches an hour will bring an additional 6 inches or so to Jefferson county late Saturday night into Sunday morning. Winds will shift to the west Sunday, and the longer fetch and slower band movement has the potential to produce 9" or more of snow across Oswego County through Sunday evening. A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Oswego county. Some accumulation is also likely into Lewis and northern Cayuga counties, but not quite as much so held off on a watch for there (but it will be close). Outside of the lake effect snowbands the weather will be fairly quiet, with a partial clearing at times. Temperatures will be below normal, especially Sunday when highs will range from the mid 20s to lower 30s. Gusty winds will make it feel like its in the teens. Mid-level height rises occur across the Great Lakes region Monday. Warm air advection will likely occur across the eastern Great Lakes while winds back to the south-southwest. Snow showers will likely linger northeast of Lake Ontario through Monday. -
Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The models show another 2-3 feet by tomorrow night. -
Winter 2022/23 Lake Effect Snow Thread
BuffaloWeather replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
- 797 replies
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Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
up and over 5 feet. will measure next at 9. -
Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That band isn't moving. You can watch my fence completely disappear soon. ...A LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WILL AFFECT PARTS OF CHAUTAUQUA... CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE...WYOMING...GENESEE...AND NORTHERN ERIE COUNTIES... HAZARDS...A lake effect snow band which can rapidly reduce visibility to less than a quarter of a mile. This lake effect snow band is producing extremely heavy snow at the rate of 2 to 3 inches per hour. LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 320 PM EST, a lake effect snow band was centered from the shoreline of Chautauqua county to Hamburg, Elma to Batavia. The band will remain nearly stationary through 5 pm, then oscillate a little to the south through early evening. -
Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thank you! Its a lot of work but I've looked back countless times at Nov 2014 and want as much content as possible. I have about 15 videos to upload to youtube that are insane. Working on that the next few hours. -
Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This stuff isn't light, be careful out there -
Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
What's your total so far? -
Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I've walked like 6-7 miles in the snow today. I'm beat. Ready to soak it all in with a nice beer tonight. -
Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
BuffaloWeather replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Was just on a local news station I'd say 43-48" depending on location in backyard. Snowing 3-4" per hour. -
Winter 2022/23 Lake Effect Snow Thread
BuffaloWeather replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Snow depth 43" average. Many spots in the yard are at 50" but drifts.