1:10 Ratios, its actually further NW then 18z. Very strange as the 18z GEFS were so far SE. The GEFS have been farther SE than every single run of the OP with the OP being the NW outlier. Very strange.
I bought a new ariens last year that I love. Haven't started it yet this year. If it looks like a decent event I'll have to start her up. Things a beast
Well just to say this is a massive win if the GFS lands this one. It has done well with the last few storms catching on with others catching up. Maybe that upgrade was really an upgrade.
Euro jumped 100 miles NW. Heaviest band is only 50 miles wide. With ratios that would be a 1-2' snowstorm for most of us. Gives us some wiggle room for the last minutes shift NW too.
Its because both storms busted within 1-2 days out. We had all models showing huge totals for 2 straight events and both busted. I want to say they went 100 miles further NW than modeled at last second?
What causes this to go straight north is that high pressure that gets tucked to the east and forces it north. Very rare evolution, but I guess that would cause it to ride the Apps. It hits a wall.