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BuffaloWeather

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Everything posted by BuffaloWeather

  1. Yeah I don't get why snow depth people wouldn't want sleet. It will stick around longer than any snow will.
  2. Devin blew up my phone so hard when that NAM came out. I was watching a movie with wife, shes like whose blowing up your phone like that? I had to tell her it wasn't my side piece, but rather a guy from the weather forum.
  3. I thought you guys said its going to go further SE last minute? I've been in WNY for a long time and I'd say 80% of Miller As always go further north then modeled the last 1-2 days before impact. Miller Bs have a greater tendency to go further SE.
  4. My sister is selling 2 tickets for $60 each. She’s a softie
  5. And it’s a holiday for me Monday. If the bills win tomorrow and we get this storm! I haven’t seen a purely synoptic system put this much qpf in my backyard in a long time.
  6. "If" all snow it would be one of Buffalos largest synoptic storms in history
  7. Looks like it changes to heavy snow next frame, but that is pretty far NW with heaviest snow.
  8. Can't say I've ever seen the coldest air in 3-4 yrs with no snow on the ground, definitely going to be a weird day tomorrow. .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... ***Active weather pattern with chances for snow*** Lake snows will be ongoing Tuesday morning focusing east and southeast of both lakes. Winds will then back to the west and southwest by Tuesday afternoon and evening sending lake snows north off both lakes ahead of a clipper low. The clipper low will then approach the region late Tuesday night with increasing chances for for snow as we head into Wednesday. Canadian-NH and GFS in general agreement that a clipper low will track near the N. shore of Lake Ontario into the North Country on Wednesday. Although, the 00Z/14 ECMWF tracks is a bit further north into Canada with less widespread precip for our area. Have gone with a blend of models at this point due to the uncertainty of the track of the clipper. Still think there could be several inches of snow with this clipper system. With its passage, a much colder air mass will filter into the eastern Great Lakes with 850 hpa plunging down to -20C/-23C by Thursday morning. Thursday, a cold northwest flow (wind chill values in the single digits to below zero) will be felt with lake snows focusing east and southeast of both lakes again. The air mass looks dry but there still could be some light accumulations in the most persistent snows, especially with any upstream connections coming into play. Thursday night, lake snows will all but wrap up with just some flurries east and southeast of the both lakes. Friday, looks mainly dry but continued cold with highs in the teens to low 20s.
  9. Yeah that was a decent one, just not in the class of the others. It just hit at perfect time.
  10. If you can guarantee me a bills victory I’ll allow this storm to scoot 100 miles southeast for you.
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