Can't say I've ever seen the coldest air in 3-4 yrs with no snow on the ground, definitely going to be a weird day tomorrow.
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
***Active weather pattern with chances for snow***
Lake snows will be ongoing Tuesday morning focusing east and
southeast of both lakes. Winds will then back to the west and
southwest by Tuesday afternoon and evening sending lake snows north
off both lakes ahead of a clipper low. The clipper low will then
approach the region late Tuesday night with increasing chances for
for snow as we head into Wednesday.
Canadian-NH and GFS in general agreement that a clipper low will
track near the N. shore of Lake Ontario into the North Country on
Wednesday. Although, the 00Z/14 ECMWF tracks is a bit further north
into Canada with less widespread precip for our area. Have gone with
a blend of models at this point due to the uncertainty of the track
of the clipper. Still think there could be several inches of snow
with this clipper system. With its passage, a much colder air mass
will filter into the eastern Great Lakes with 850 hpa plunging down
to -20C/-23C by Thursday morning.
Thursday, a cold northwest flow (wind chill values in the single
digits to below zero) will be felt with lake snows focusing east and
southeast of both lakes again. The air mass looks dry but there
still could be some light accumulations in the most persistent
snows, especially with any upstream connections coming into play.
Thursday night, lake snows will all but wrap up with just some
flurries east and southeast of the both lakes. Friday, looks mainly
dry but continued cold with highs in the teens to low 20s.