SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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I was gonna day today is finally a day where we’re not adding 30,000 cases but then I realized worldometer hasn’t added NY cases yet.
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I saw NY deaths spiked another 400 this afternoon, was that another dump of probable deaths?
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I get that, but no one knows what the summer/fall will look like so it’s hard to plan. You can’t say we’re definitely going back on X date and it’ll be back to normal. Need to just wait and see how things play out.
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Either way I don’t see the need to rush the decision. In a month they’ll have more information to make a more informed decision.
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lol you’re the one who won’t be satisfied until we have herd immunity and a million people are dead, it seems to me that you are the one invested in this angle.
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Given how much uncertainty there is I don’t see any problem with biting off one month chunks. No reason to call it a year if there is even a small chance we could go back.
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Countdown til @PhineasC blows a gasket over this post 5.....4.....3.....2.....1.....
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None of this makes any sense. The idea is to limit the number of deaths until treatments improve and/or there is a vaccine. Letting 80% of the population get this would probably result in a million+ deaths in short order.
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Classic case of two things can be true, it can be true that the disease is more widespread than originally thought AND that it’s still too dangerous to turn it completely loose.
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To prevent a million deaths
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I never argued with you at all about IFR. I was arguing with you about herd immunity being a viable strategy. Let’s say for arguments sake that 2.8% number holds nationally. It cost us 35,000 lives. To get to herd immunity you need like 60%. That would be a million deaths.
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Yeah I was referencing the fact that hogan will probably announce they close up for the year. Next years going to be interesting, of course it’s all guesswork now, but school could look very different.
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DCPS is done for the year, gonna continue distance learning til May 29 then close it up. I imagine Hogan will announce the same thing this afternoon. I think they are positioning themselves for an earlier start next academic year. Of course it's not clear if we'll be ready to open up for business as usual in early August. I wonder if we'll do some kind of staggered schedule or A day/B day thing where only half the staff/students are in the building on a given day.
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This straw man again...no one is advocating for 6 months, a year, or 18 months. Everyone is in agreement opening needs to start much sooner.
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of course caveat that anything China reports gets a grain of salt, but this would be a surprisingly low infection rate
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Unless you move to a state with a very irresistible governor it’s not going to be like that. This virus is fundamentally different than the flu.
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What’s the agenda?
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Area under the curve is the integral, which would be deaths multiplied by time. I’m not sure those areas would be equal if let covid go unchecked. I think covid area would be larger.
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Thank god these people weren’t in charge during WW2. Is there any chance these people would’ve gone to fight? Methinks not.
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Pretty sure this isn’t swine flu....
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Spoiler alert: this isn’t swine flu
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Seems very relevant to covid in this region, they’re right up 95 from us and a few weeks ahead of us in terms of timing.
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And Guayaquil (where many covid deaths were reported) is on the coast, very tropical, not high up in the andes at 10,000 feet like Quito.
