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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. in case anyone needed more convincing that covid is not the flu
  2. Agree, golf courses have been closed so who is say how golfers would act if courses reopened and they were expected to practice social distancing. I imagine they would be just fine with it.
  3. Worldometer seems to update in real time as the states report.
  4. If you add up the confirmed deaths which are around 15k and the probable deaths, which are around 5k, it ends up being over 20k.
  5. Yes it’s bad news if you were hoping for herd immunity to be viable. Gonna be weird when 20% of nyc doesn’t have to social distance. There will be 2 classes of people.
  6. Yeah golf is low hanging fruit and popular enough it’ll do a lot for peoples morale to be able to get back on the course. It’s certainly no worse of a risk than people walking/running/biking on trails
  7. And even worse that was only on ~ 3,500 tests so % positive increased a little, 27%.
  8. I was just using the term lockdown as a blanket since I was referring to some countries that did actual lockdowns and some countries like ours did "almost lockdowns". IMO the words actually in this case truly don't matter.
  9. I'm talking about school closures, stay at home, restaurants closed, etc.
  10. Just look at the case counts before/after lockdowns in any state or country. There Is exponential growth until the lockdown. It’s very obvious.
  11. And that's assuming we can test, contact trace, and isolate. Without that things will be even less normal.
  12. here’s a good thread on the next couple of years. Basically the summary is we need to copy Taiwan/Singapore/South Korea.
  13. The IHME thinks we’ll have a precipitous drop in deaths. Doesn’t seem realistic based on what’s happened in Europe. The MIT line looks more realistic. The two shades of grey are the reported deaths, the lighter shade includes probable deaths in nyc.
  14. If all this “open up now” energy could be redirected to “open up smart” and push for a national plan of testing and contact tracing it would work out a lot better for public health and the economy.
  15. smh....offering up her citizens in a potentially deadly science experiment
  16. It’s not relevant. Some other bad thing that happens doesn’t make the current bad thing that’s happening any better. It’s just another form of whataboutism.
  17. He doesn’t. There’s been a few people in here pushing the flu = covid fantasy for a while now. Not sure what they’re trying to accomplish.
  18. Yeah it’s really unforgivable that they’re going to try to shortcut this.
  19. It is debatable, but if a large % of the population doesn’t have immunity, which seems to be the case even if you take the highest estimates of prevalence, there doesn’t seem to be a good reason why it wouldn’t occur if it’s still present in the fall. Maybe we get lucky and the severity of the virus decreases over time but I wouldn’t count on that.
  20. I’ve said this before but IMO the biggest risk to our economy is opening too soon, wave 1 never really ends through the summer, then wave 2 comes roaring back in the fall. Then it’s back to full lockdowns.
  21. I think the thing the governors and protestors aren’t acknowledging is that even if we “open up” and it goes relatively well it’s going to be a long road to economic recovery. If the early openings make it worse it’s going to take even longer.
  22. States like Maryland that have active cases in the 10s of thousands probably will IMO. States with lower numbers might feel like they have a little more latitude. ETA: of course we know that Florida, Texas, etc, ain’t gonn wait for nothin
  23. They’ve got over 6k more cases than WOM, wonder why.
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