SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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The thing about infectious disease though is that it’s not just you. You being out in the world increases the risk that others will get it. Secondly, if you mean the total number of infections is greater than the known number of cases, of course. That is true for every disease in the history of mankind that there is a test for.
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Man I really need some sports, NHL playoffs would be in full swing right now.
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Hahaha I do like your trolling style better than some of the others that have passed through this thread tbh. At least you don’t pretend to try to understand what’s actually happening out there in the world. It’s a little less abrasive, keep it up.
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No integrity in what data specifically? Also, if you’re so above “freaking out” and if the data that we discuss is in your mind no good then why are you in this thread at all?
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That’s a lot of words used to not say anything of value. Do you have any ideas you’d like to contribute?
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Next fall if covid is back simultaneously with a flu season that will be very bad. This year it coincided with the tail end of flu season.
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Another 2k+ deaths today, just extrapolating what the back side of the US curve might look like based on Italy, I can’t see how we’d end up averaging less than 1k per day for a good part or all of May. Good chance we’ll be 80-90k by the end of May. Really terrible but i don’t see how we just drop down super fast.
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I have no idea, hard to imagine 47k people all had flu like symptoms.
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Yeah they ran 47k tests. % positive down. It’s good news.
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And the Ecuador outbreak is centered in guayaquil, which is very tropical. Not a good sign if you’re hoping for summer to stop this.
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Yes, but if the # of tests goes up and the % of positives doesn’t drop (which is whats happening) that’s not good. Ideally we’d maybe be seeing more cases but a lower % positive.
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And 77 deaths, 26% positive rate which is about par for the course, unfortunately it seems to stay at that rate even on the days when more tests are completed.
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Saw some video on the news of a gym in georgia. People working out pretty close to one another no masks. Guy puts weights back without sanitizing. Can’t see how this won’t end up being a significant mode of transmission.
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Are these Are these pretty common or is it clearly covid related?
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What do those mean?
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Wow Massachusetts ran 20,000 tests today. That’s pretty impressive. Even though they found almost 5,000 new cases their % positive is down to ~25%.
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NBD, I was debating phin + a few others on here about a week ago regarding public support for lockdowns. He seemed to think we were a few weeks away from the public being fed up with stay at home orders.
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Well I guess mostly phin lol but IIRC he had a few other supporters that were pretty sure the shelf life on the stay at home orders wasn't very long.
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Seems to contradict the prevailing wisdom among a certain group who think that we are a few weeks away from everyone ignoring stay at home orders.
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Agree, you can “open up” all you want but if you do it incorrectly and people turn on the news and see their local hospital flooded with dying covid patients the economy isn’t going to be in great shape.
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I don’t know that you’re allowing enough time to see the trends. People will take time to slowly come out, it’s not like everyone in Georgia is going to a restaurant on Monday. My guess is trends would evident more on the 6-8+ week time frame.
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I saw a virologist on twitter saying herd immunity could be 60%, but that might be a moot point cause the virus would likely overshoot the % needed for herd immunity.
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I would take the over on that even if we were maintaining lockdowns everywhere.
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Yeah, backed by the numbers you made up. Here are some numbers from an actual scientist.
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A little early Friday morning trolling i see. It’s getting old though, you’re going to have to change it up a bit, keep it fresh.
