SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Soon when things are open I think older or susceptible people will still be encouraged to stay home. They will likely do this on their own and probably still only go out for essentials. The harder decision will be once more things are open and their families have been out and about and they have to decide whether or not to go visit the grandkids.
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Just took a look. The only thing I wondered about is he says we have to stop making policy decisions based on hypotheticals. Seems to me like the 60,000 deaths the model was predicting are no longer hypothetical.
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Anyone know what’s up with Brazil? They appear to be on a bad trajectory. Are they on lockdown?
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They have not had the longest stay at home, I believe that was California.
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Yeah but with NY’s continued lower numbers even with NJ’s increase we’ll almost certainly be lower than last Tuesday, so the downward trend continues.
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Well apparently NJ’s lower numbers this weekend were indeed lack of weekend reporting, they are announcing almost 400 new deaths today.
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This makes sense. For all the hullabaloo about how bad the models were it looks like they’ll be pretty accurate.
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Makes sense, I’d be interested to know how old the average adult made it to.
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Yeah I know humanity has registered pandemics, but this one is largely killing people who would’ve otherwise been dead in the year 1,000. How long did people live back then, 50?
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Yeah I’m really wondering about the fall now. I teach in a school with 1,500 ish students total plus well over 100 staff. I wonder if we’ll be going to back to business as usual in the fall.
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Yeah I have a 1 and 4 year old and no playgrounds, friends, cousins, etc really limits what we can do on a day to day basis.
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A very interesting question indeed. Had this spread in the year 1,000 would they even have noticed? I never thought about that. My guess is they wouldn’t have noticed given the multitude of other, worse health issues they had to deal with.
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This makes sense to me. I saw one estimate from Bowser’s office that up to 20% of currently closed businesses in DC may not return, that’s a huge hit not just to those businesses but to the city’s revenue stream and everything that depends on it.
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There is an interesting debate to be had about putting dollar values on human life. When cuomo says “you can’t put a value on life”, that’s just not true. We do all the time. One argument I’ve heard along these lines is if we value human life infinitely why isn’t the speed limit 15 mph on all roads? You could pretty much eliminate all traffic fatalities (30-40k per year). The price of those 30-40k lives is the convenience and economic benefits of driving fast.
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hahaha I tried to read it and get some main ideas but it was too much.
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Makes sense, but seeing as how this specific pathogen kills mostly old people those genes are already passed on.
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Initially I was considering responding to this, but I don’t have it in me lol. There’s too much wrong and it’s too incoherent to dissect.
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These are not good analogies imo. Why would controlling this pandemic make the next one worse? There will be new vulnerable populations by the time the next one comes. It’s not like a forest fire that wipes out all the fuel and can’t come back right away.
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That REALLY sucks.
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Nice pics. Denis Potvin is the GOAT though.
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Also places that lost staff maybe can't just staff back up at the drop of a hat.
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Agree, someone has to be first and as long as they are doing it in a measured approach it will be a good test.
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Yeah it’s just a guess I see a lot of experts putting out there 10:1 undetected to detected.
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The crazy part is in reality we probably have something like 10 million cases total.
