SomeguyfromTakomaPark

Yes of course, at some point when the risk is lower. But moving on will probably not mean just rushing back into life as it used to be, as @mappy and @Eskimo Joe have pointed out.

Yes this is true. But we minimize risks where we can. And this particular risk is exponentially greater than the risks you list and we have a way to minimize it. 799 people, probably over 1,000 if you count the deaths at home, died yesterday in ny state. This is not something we can allow to happen everywhere.

If you open up too early we risk being back in lockdown again, which ultimately would be worse than extending an original lockdown to make sure we’re good to go.

It’s awful....the PG outbreak is particularly concerning, their numbers have been accelerating.

Maryland with big numbers again today, 33 new deaths and 783 new cases.

I think the way you are framing this is incorrect, the way to fix the economy is to end the epidemic spread of covid-19. Any attempt to open up for business while there is widespread sustained community transmission will ultimately do more harm than good to the economy. As Anthony Fauci says the virus determines the timeline, not us.

This is probably true, luckily the places with the worst outbreaks currently are all run by governors who seem to be cautious. Wuhan just opened up today, but the amount of surveillance, monitoring, and contact tracing they can employ obviously isn’t feasible here. It will be interesting to see how this plays out.

I understand that it won’t be a lockdown, but it will be an enormous challenge to manage this without herd immunity for 4-5 years.

This will be an enormous challenge if the timeline is 4-5 years.

Winds are cranking now! Probably just had a 40+ mph gust.

The biggest issue DCPS was/is having with this is not knowing when this is going to end. At first they seemed to really believe the closure was only going to last 2 weeks and they haphazardly allowed teachers to do whatever in terms of schedule and didn't standardize anything in terms of learning platforms, amount of assignments, etc. Teachers zoom sessions were conflicting and students were overwhelmed with the amount of work since no one was coordinating due dates or workloads or anything. DCPS also declared that anything that happened post-closure couldn't reduce a students grade, so any work during the quarantine is counted like extra credit. I think now they are coming to terms with the fact that our year is likely over and we're adopting a district wide schedule which makes sense. I'm not sure how the 4th quarter will look in terms of grading. I don't think this experience will be anywhere near as good as actually physically going to school (obviously) but its the best we can do.

I agree with this. Just keep everything moving.

I saw a study, maybe I can find it later, that Even if you stopped 99 out of 100 flights for every impacted area, which is effectively impossibleC you only delay the pandemic by a few weeks.

The time between infection and death i was reading is generally around 1 month so hopefully once we get a month out from the SD we’ll see a drop in the death count. I know NYC had some SD implemented in mid March but didn’t do a stay at home order until March 22 so maybe this week is the worst and then we’ll see improvements.

My guess is May is mostly toast.

Is +21 deaths the biggest one day increase?

Most of the states with bad outbreaks recorded their worst, or close to worst day yet: GA, MA, CT, LA, NY, NJ, IL, MI, PA, CA

Absolutely, he’s been very visible and was quick to pull the trigger on closing the schools which is one of the most important factors.

Have been following this closely and the outbreak in Maryland looks very bad to me. Cases in 81 nursing homes is a big problem. Secondly, Maryland is reporting currently 26% of cases are hospitalized, which should be around 10% based on other states/countries. This suggests there are at least 2.6 times the number of reported cases. Thirdly, our whole region was really slow on the testing.

Light sleet/graupel in DC at 48 degrees.

Actually looks like a decent event for them.

Our long range thread has just become that one guy who posts snowmaps that show no snow over and over.

That is impressively futile. If there isn't any chance of snow I'm rooting for way AN temps so we can at least enjoy the outdoors.

How much storm total do you have?

I'll be up in the Montpelier area Friday-Monday visiting a friend. It seems like there will definitely be snow on the ground as it seems a few shortwaves will be moving through. Looking at the 10:1 clown maps I see a huge difference vs. the Kuchera maps. Just wondering if those kuchera maps ever pan out up there. I'm really hope to do some cross country skiing and sledding with my kids.