SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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This is why I'm worried about how long it's going to take to get back to normal. The testing infrastructure for whatever reason just still isn't anywhere close to where it needs to be, and as we all know the most likely path back to normalcy is testing/contact tracing.
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Jeez, still getting a lot of positives on not that many tests. That's 36% positive rate.
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2020 Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather - General Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Large tree down on a house in my neighborhood in Takoma Park, house isn’t too badly damaged but it’s not even that windy yet... -
2020 Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather - General Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Winds kicking up quickly -
Yep, and if history is any guide all levels of government will move too slow and this will take longer than it should to come back online.
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2020 Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather - General Thread
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Across most of our CWA? -
I don’t think this is true. It takes time for travelers to deliver the virus, and then it takes time for those sparks to turn into fires. Some of the sparks die out.
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Additionally, they only ran ~2,500 tests yesterday with around 20% positive which is pretty high.
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I hope you’re right! It’s been a while since we instituted the social distancing so hopefully the numbers are indeed peaking.
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I’ll say this @showmethesnow, I think again you’re sort of overthinking it. Its pretty simple to me, once the number of new cases and then hospitalizations/deaths are steadily dropping that’s when we can say we’re on the downswing.
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Without any baseline the testing still shows an incredible amount of sick people. And I know Maryland cleared out it’s big backlog of testing so these aren’t people who got tested very long ago anymore. The testing data absolutely is indicative of the virus being very widespread.
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I think this is a very optimistic analysis of the situation. We’re still adding 30,000+ cases a day nationally, and just in MD/DC/VA we’re adding over 1,000 cases per day with limited testing criteria. That’s a lot of sick people and an indication that virus is extremely widespread. IMO we have a long ways to go.
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We might be near the peak in terms of deaths per day, but the problem is Italy is about 2 weeks off its peak deaths and is still recording like 60-70% of its peak deaths each day. Coming down the backside of this peak won’t be quick.
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I apologize for throwing the Fox News at you. I understand where you’re coming from. I’m going to stop the politics now because I was told it’s not allowed in this thread. No hard feelings.
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Ok well for the sake of this thread I’ll take it offline. But if @showmethesnow or @SnowGolfBro want to continue further in the politics forum I’d be happy to.
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I’m just getting tired of the framing of this debate I see from right wing media. Of course you’re free to think my ideas are a load of BS and I’d be happy to hear about why if you want to explain.
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I wasn’t sure if that was allowed or not. If the mods don’t want politics in here I’m happy to oblige, but it’s hard to separate covid from politics.
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Of course everyone wants to open it up ASAP, the question is how to do that while minimizing loss of life. Since your post doesn’t address this issue in a meaningful way it’s hard to engage with you.
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I’d really like to see zipcode data on this. If the poorer parts of PG adjacent to SE DC are a hot spot and that bleeds into SE DC that could be a public health nightmare.
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I imagine the strain on our hospital system must be becoming noticeable now. That’s a lot of people to add in one day.
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It seems like you’re overthinking it. It kind of is pretty simple. Reduce human contact to reduce spread.
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I dunno if anyone’s been keeping track but also +296 hospitalizations. Is that the highest one day addition yet?
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I think the difference in infection spread caused by reducing contact with others vs any increased contact with your family is several orders of magnitude.
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I don’t find this line of reasoning compelling. My wife and kids and I are in close contact regardless of quarantine. The important factor that changes with social distancing is contact with people beyond my immediate family.
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I don’t follow this point. It will spread within family units regardless. Social distancing limits spread between family units. I don’t think most, if any, public health expert would agree with the idea that social distancing has no benefits if there are large infection rates. To the contrary, I think most public health experts would say social distancing is most needed when infection rates are large.
