SomeguyfromTakomaPark

Bah, it’s hard to think we’re really going to see fast decreases in hospitalization/death when we keep adding ~30,000 cases a day nationally. Really hoping to see that number drop off soon.

Gonna be another very bad death total today, CT 197, MI 151, MA 153, NJ 351, IL 80. All at or near their highest.

Yeah well I think he was shot down because opening up during the peak of an epidemic isn't a good idea. I think everyone thinks that massively scaling up testing is a good idea, and would be on board. And also, for the record, I agree with you. I don't think a lockdown anywhere near another 6 months is feasible.

We don't have a lot of options. As you can see on this board, people are hungry to get back to life and won't be locked down forever.

I think we really put our mind to it we could get this up and running faster than 6 months. If the federal government REALLY took this seriously and got all the states on board I think in a month or two we could have the testing capacity to start opening things up.

So why can't we adapt and overcome this challenge? Why do have to give up? I don't understand this mentality. Our country has achieved FAR greater things than this. We sent two armies simultaneously to different sides of the globe to defeat 2 different brutal facist regimes in WW2. We can figure out how to test and isolate cases of this virus and quickly if we choose to.

We can overcome these problems if we decided it was important enough. And to me, 2,000+ people dying a day while we're all locked in our homes is an important enough reason.

Why can't we scale up testing like South Korea? We can send and army halfway around the world at the drop of a hat. We surely can ramp up testing and contact tracing, return mostly to normal, and wait for the vaccine. That seems to me like the best option.

That’s just not how it works. Too high a percentage of our population is old or has comorbidity. It isn’t feasible to do that.

Well I’m not “welcome to”, actually I’ve been ordered to. And judging by the fact that you’re in this subforum, so have you.

The average hospitalization rate has been 17%, but of course that sample is biased because mostly only the very sick get tested. I think the framing you’ve presented is incorrect. I don’t believe people can “get on with their lives” in the midst of this epidemic until we limit the spread significantly. We need to limit it at least to the point that our hospitals aren’t in jeopardy of being overwhelmed.

So are you talking about the probable covid deaths? The numbers everyone’s been going by so far (Until nyc released probable deaths yesterday) have been fatalities with positive tests. I know nyc did an analysis of their average death rate over past years and compared it to this year, so the past years should account for the flu deaths.

What's also quite worrisome is the idea floating around in the federal government that states right now with lower case counts should reopen quickly. I think that is a mistake and the testing/contact tracing infrastructure should be in place first.

Well we’re still adding big case counts each day so until that starts dropping I’d say the peak hasn’t passed.

Hospitals starting to feel the strain

Looks like today will follow the trend of spikes in deaths on Tuesdays presumably because of catching up on weekend reporting. NJ with 362 new deaths which I believe is their highest, Louisiana with 129 which might be their highest, and NY back up near its peak with 778. If Italy/Spain have shown us anything it’s that it takes a lot of time for the number of deaths to come down. Just a terrible loss of life when you really think about the fact that all those numbers were mothers, fathers, sisters, brothers, spouses, etc.

Maryland again reporting a very high % positive, 27% of the newly reported results are +.

Maryland and DC both with their highest one day deaths so far, Maryland with 40 and DC with 15.

lol dude, take a few deep breaths, everything is going to be ok, it’s just the mods trying to keep the discussion away from politics.

Quite a few asymptomatic/presymptomatic people walking around NYC!

Full sunshine now in Takoma Park...

Wow! Crazy cause it's just been breezy here. Are we expecting the peak of the synoptic winds early this afternoon?

Hopefully not wandering around but yeah.

Just semantics, I’m not arguing, of “the test results received yesterday” there was a very high + rate.

Yeah but still, of the ~2,000 tests they ran yesterday ~700 were positive. Regardless of when those tests are from that's still a high positive rate.