SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Dang, nothing about overall testing capacity, ability to test symptomatic people, or contact tracing?
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Wow that’s impressive. I’ve gone out to the liquor store with gloves/mask and just make sure it’s not busy before I walk in.
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It’s actually cool enough to night justify a fire, and when there’s a fire I’m in the mood for whiskey. Ohhhh yes.
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Even if they’re from a week or two ago it’s still a problem. Eventually we need the number of new cases to go down or this doesn’t end.
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What’s the gating?
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It all depends. Somehow we’re still adding 700 cases a day. That needs to stop soon.
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Having to convert entire hospitals to ICUs is a major capacity problem and isn’t sustainable so I don’t see how you can say the hospital capacity concerns were unwarranted.
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As for the hospital capacity thing you are aware that most hospitals in nyc and surrounding areas have basically been converted entirely to ICUs?
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Also ventilators are basically a death sentence with covid and hospitals are moving away from using them and trying other techniques. The concerns over hospital capacity are/were very much warranted IMO.
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That’s a lot of 40-69 year olds dying!!
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The paying salaries indefinitely, 6 month closure, etc is a straw man. No one is advocating for these things.
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If we let knuckleheads seize the debate and force us to open things up too fast/widely we might be in big trouble. That’s the biggest possible way we fail IMO.
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6 months or anywhere’s near that is not feasible to stay fully locked down imo. I think if we are smart and careful and really ramp up testing/contact tracing we can open up in late spring. It’s gonna take some trial and error of course but I think it’s possible. There’s no way we’re staying on lockdown through the summer.
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I dunno why you’re so gung ho about “indefinitely” or “6 months”. If we are smart and the federal government does it’s just this can all happen much sooner. It’s our job to demand they do that.
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I don’t buy this. People can go on unemployment, people can get back to work, and hopefully the government can perhaps provide more help like other rich nations do. People can’t come back to life when they die of covid.
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This will be the least shocking thing in the history of mankind. Everyone wants to return to their routine ASAP. Of course people will.
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IMO the evidence does not point at all towards this ending up a degree or two off fromthe flu. Just look at this graph of nyc all cause mortality. Herd immunity is a moot point with this virus. It kills too many. No governor is going to sacrifice hundreds of thousands of their citizens to attain herd immunity.
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I can’t tell if you’re being sarcastic or not. Given that the incubation period + people getting tested can be quite a long time I don’t think 15 days would be enough. I also don’t think most of the places that extended until May 15 are planning to open May 15. I think they’re just adding 1 month increments on a wait and see basis.
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If they can open up successfully that soon then I tip my cap to them. Ohio was also very aggressive and one of the first states to close schools so perhaps they’re in a better position than most. I’m very hopeful they are successful. If they are not and they have new outbreaks that get out of control it will be a large setback.
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NJ with 362 fatalities (highest yet), they appear to be peaking slightly after NYC which makes sense.
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Yes, adding in the probable deaths. But I think @PhineasC was doing the apples to apples comparison of the confirmed deaths that cuomo always updates on. And we don’t have enough day to day data yet on the probable deaths to discern any trends from.
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I’m REALLY hoping we can start getting back to normal by mid to late May. I’m not in a bad situation being a teacher. Stuck in the house with a 4 year old and 1 year old isn’t so bad with decent springtime weather and a steady paycheck honestly. I’m just anxious to get the kids back to their normal lives (seeing friends, seeing family, etc) .
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Indeed. Now hopefully the backside of this curve doesn’t take forever to get down.
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I thought there was one +295 maybe like a week ago
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Of course that’s not all the cases. So far, in most places, only people that are pretty sick are getting tested. That means 30,000 that are/were pretty sick got tested +, which IMO isn’t good.
