SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Yeah, but that isn’t true anywhere in the US, not even close.
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No slowdown, today was 21% positive which is slightly down, need to see that happen day after day.
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Yeah he goes on to explain in that thread. Stuff is a little above my pay grade but i think the assumptions about how good the test is is one of the reasons. One of the reasons mentioned in the other thread is the study relied on volunteers, it wasn’t random, so it may be biased to those who were sick and wanted confirmation.
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Safe to say the jury is still out on that result from Santa Clara county.
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Ok, it’s been fun arguing tonight. Mostly I disagree with this but I’m drinking beer now and am too lazy to continue. But I salute you and @PhineasC for your willingness to go back and forth.
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lol every time you’re stuck you go to the same straw man of the fictitious guy in basement, so predictable. If we follow your ideas and go “every man for himself” we’ll be counting bodies in the hundreds of thousands or millions. Yes that is worse.
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The thing is we’ve had almost 40,000 deaths, most of which occurred in the last 2-3 weeks. There’s no statistic you can concoct whether it be death rates, hospitalizations, comparisons to other diseases, etc, that can make that go away. It’s a tremendous amount of death and suffering people have had to absorb in a short period of time. As much as you’d like to believe “nyc is fine” as you said last night, it isn’t. End of story.
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If we got hit with a meteor and the world was ending phin would like “but the velociraptor death rate was higher in the Cretaceous”.
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Sure....all the case counts and deaths are meaningless. Unless we’re talking about bahrain lol.
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Another 30k case day.... this isn’t ending anytime soon.
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I think they’re adding probable deaths from NYC that occurred over a long period of time. Worldometer added them a few days ago.
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I was gonna day today is finally a day where we’re not adding 30,000 cases but then I realized worldometer hasn’t added NY cases yet.
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I saw NY deaths spiked another 400 this afternoon, was that another dump of probable deaths?
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I get that, but no one knows what the summer/fall will look like so it’s hard to plan. You can’t say we’re definitely going back on X date and it’ll be back to normal. Need to just wait and see how things play out.
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Either way I don’t see the need to rush the decision. In a month they’ll have more information to make a more informed decision.
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lol you’re the one who won’t be satisfied until we have herd immunity and a million people are dead, it seems to me that you are the one invested in this angle.
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Given how much uncertainty there is I don’t see any problem with biting off one month chunks. No reason to call it a year if there is even a small chance we could go back.
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Countdown til @PhineasC blows a gasket over this post 5.....4.....3.....2.....1.....
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None of this makes any sense. The idea is to limit the number of deaths until treatments improve and/or there is a vaccine. Letting 80% of the population get this would probably result in a million+ deaths in short order.
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Classic case of two things can be true, it can be true that the disease is more widespread than originally thought AND that it’s still too dangerous to turn it completely loose.
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To prevent a million deaths
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I never argued with you at all about IFR. I was arguing with you about herd immunity being a viable strategy. Let’s say for arguments sake that 2.8% number holds nationally. It cost us 35,000 lives. To get to herd immunity you need like 60%. That would be a million deaths.
