Yeah I feel like Norluns are not something you can count on. What's interesting to me is that the Euro AI is just on the verge of blurring the norlun and more direct coastal influence, makes me think we can't rule out a closer coastal yet.
I guess back to 0z Monday it was showing the big dog, but I think all yesterday it was fairly consistent. Def more consistent than everything else that's for sure.
That's looking like the Euro AI precip distribution wise except displaced a tad north, also get's that 6 inch line way back into VA. I'd love to see the members for this.
I dunno why people think the ICON at 100+ hours will be consistent. Let’s keep the ai ensembles on our side til Thursday, get the EPS on board tonight or tomorrow, and then dial the ops in Thursday and Friday.