SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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I'm talking about school closures, stay at home, restaurants closed, etc.
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Just look at the case counts before/after lockdowns in any state or country. There Is exponential growth until the lockdown. It’s very obvious.
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And that's assuming we can test, contact trace, and isolate. Without that things will be even less normal.
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here’s a good thread on the next couple of years. Basically the summary is we need to copy Taiwan/Singapore/South Korea.
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The IHME thinks we’ll have a precipitous drop in deaths. Doesn’t seem realistic based on what’s happened in Europe. The MIT line looks more realistic. The two shades of grey are the reported deaths, the lighter shade includes probable deaths in nyc.
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If all this “open up now” energy could be redirected to “open up smart” and push for a national plan of testing and contact tracing it would work out a lot better for public health and the economy.
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smh....offering up her citizens in a potentially deadly science experiment
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It’s not relevant. Some other bad thing that happens doesn’t make the current bad thing that’s happening any better. It’s just another form of whataboutism.
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He doesn’t. There’s been a few people in here pushing the flu = covid fantasy for a while now. Not sure what they’re trying to accomplish.
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Yeah it’s really unforgivable that they’re going to try to shortcut this.
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It is debatable, but if a large % of the population doesn’t have immunity, which seems to be the case even if you take the highest estimates of prevalence, there doesn’t seem to be a good reason why it wouldn’t occur if it’s still present in the fall. Maybe we get lucky and the severity of the virus decreases over time but I wouldn’t count on that.
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I’ve said this before but IMO the biggest risk to our economy is opening too soon, wave 1 never really ends through the summer, then wave 2 comes roaring back in the fall. Then it’s back to full lockdowns.
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I think the thing the governors and protestors aren’t acknowledging is that even if we “open up” and it goes relatively well it’s going to be a long road to economic recovery. If the early openings make it worse it’s going to take even longer.
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States like Maryland that have active cases in the 10s of thousands probably will IMO. States with lower numbers might feel like they have a little more latitude. ETA: of course we know that Florida, Texas, etc, ain’t gonn wait for nothin
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They’ve got over 6k more cases than WOM, wonder why.
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I see 26k cases on WOM
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You really should start a flu thread.
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History Professor: And tragically class, over 58,000 Americans died in the Vietnam war. Student: *raises hand* History Professor: Yes, you in the back, go ahead... Student: That’s no big deal because 60,000 people died of flu last year.
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And the majority of those have been in the last 3 weeks...
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This is not at all relevant to the current discussion. Maybe you should start a flu thread.
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I dunno, it would have to slow down really fast to not past 60,000.
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It seems like we’re gonna blow past the IHME projection of 60,000 deaths by August, heck at this rate we’ll be there by the end of April.
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Jersey with 379, highest one day total yet.
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Absolutely, it seems like if the virus can manage to get into your lungs it doesn't really matter how old you are, it's going to beat you up pretty badly.
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I mean, *knocks on wood*, as a reasonably healthy guy in my mid 30s the chances are low this would be bad for me personally, but so many people I know are older and/or have health conditions.
