SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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@ers-wxman1 ruffling some feathers. Not surprising cause he loves to come in when the models are looking bad and get all emotional while spiking the “storm ain’t happening” football. is all I have to say about that.
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GFS significantly better for most of our sub forum than 06z.
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Lotta sleet. The 3K never torches us that badly.
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The NAMs even hoses NYC. They are forecast to get 10-16 in the city with near blizzard conditions. If they get 1-3/dryslot there are gonna be some serious weenie cliff jumpings.
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I'm actually kind of excited for this storm. Give me a few hours of steady/heavy snow during the day tomorrow then whatever happens is gravy. Dry slot would be ideal so maybe the ground is still white when it gets cold after the storm. This is a nice way to pad stats if we can do 1-3 or 2-4 on the WAA.
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I wouldn't mind thump --> mix --> rain --> dryslot. It's better than hours and hours of heavy rain at 35 degrees.
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Actually I'm a physics teacher in my 14th year teaching hahaha
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My first period physics class at 9:35 would be a lot fun!
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Could just be the second cup of coffee hitting but I'm feeling a little optimistic about this storm for some reason. Feel like we get some better trends today.
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That is a good point about barely touching freezing. Coldest in mby has probably been like 29.
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That’s really actually pretty to look at. I know we shouldn’t count on back end snows and all, but it’s nice to think about!
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Euro says we’re still in the game in the metros. Gonna be close but not ready to wave the white flag yet.
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DC hanging on by a thread. No wiggle room at all anymore. Would love if this map came true.
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If you believe it, it still wants to change us back over to heavy snow by 66.
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Heights higher out in front at 36 hours.
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Sure did. Meaningfully less snow inside the beltway for sure but temps are still pretty cold, so a decent amount of mix and not a complete washout.
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It's not even that great for the far northern crew. Have to get to the MD/PA border to get decent accumulations.
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Might've been discussed a few pages back but the 06z RGEM is pretty nice for DC. Verbatim it's 5 ish hours of snow, then sleet, then back to some heavy snow before it pulls off, all with temps right at or below freezing.
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Yeah, it's definitely going to be interesting to see how it plays out. Either way, I'm happy to be in the game and not going to be surprised/disappointed if we don't put up big (6 inches or more) numbers. Would be very happy with an inch or two, rain/sleet. and a flip back to snow for some more minor accumulations.
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I wouldn't count us out just yet. We're right on that line. If we can flip back and get under the CCB, even if not for very long, we might be very pleasantly surprised.
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Seeing the 06z euro is “nam like” on phillywx. I’m guessing that’s not good for us...
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320 ft ASL almost directly on the fall line well inside the beltway. Whenever there is a “fall line” scenario I feel like I group with the wrong side of the line team.
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That’s pretty good for around here. Half the time we get a storm it melts within 12 hours.
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Oh good god yes. Pretty nice agreement with the GFS.
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A blend of the euro/gfs is pretty decent for dc metro even inside the beltway but I’d like a little more wiggle room.
