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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah looks like the coastal impacts are still well north of our region. On to the good models now.
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah pretty much every model forms a coastal but there is obviously still a big question mark as to where it delivers the biggest impacts. If I was a forecaster I'd be focused on telling the public that some accumulating snow is likely Sunday and Sunday night and the impacts of the coastal on Monday are yet to be determined.
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Euro looks good to me. 3-6 inches for the WAA is what I’m pumped for. Anything after that is gravy.
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Good god yes. Look at that due almost East movement on the last panel.
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    That was a nice event, part 2 really delivered and was quite delayed from part 1. We were on here all morning hemming and hawing about whether it would happen. Had some great rates during the end of the storm and finished with about 11 inches here in takoma park. Would love to replicate that Sunday and Monday.
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It does appear that way. And obviously even the GFS solution still snows on us so I’d say we’re looking good!
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Wow when’s the last time we’ve seen an EPS mean look this good at 5 days or less? 2016?
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I think my favorite part of the Euro run is that we have 4-7 inches down region wide with great temps before the coastal is even near our latitude. I really wanna lock up that part 1 and then anything after will be gravy.
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yep, I agree with this, and all of 95 up through Boston has the same issue. 850 and 925 temps look ok for the duration, I'd rather gamble with the surface if I had to choose.
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I would definitely gamble on this, but don't look at the 2m temps and just pretend it happens colder than modeled. 35 in DC for most of the storm.
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Looks good to me, 2-4 inches by 06z Sunday across most of DC metro north to south.
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    A large percentage of those are stalling/crawling in great locations for us. LFG.
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah, basically what the 00z UK is showing. I would also sign on the dotted line for that. Solid warning event with no temp issues.
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    6z para has the stall, just a little too far northeast for us to profit off it.
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I really like the overnight runs. I'm almost relieved the Euro didn't print out another HECS because that sets the expectations unreasonably high. The EPS being a big hit and the op Euro being a moderate hit but a southern outlier is about as good as you can draw it up for 5ish days out.
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Wow these maps are looking very nice. I’m starting to believe it might actually snow!
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Para is still thumpy with the waa. Gets the precip in way quicker than the Euro.
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Where you gonna stay?
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    So 12z Recap and please correct me if I'm wrong about any of these GFS/GEFS: light/decent Para: good CMC/GEPS: decent UK: decent Euro/EPS: ridiculous Icon: very good JMA: good Navgem: good Am I missing anything? I'll tell you what, I'm glad it's not the GEFS/EPS reversed. The GEFS was holding on to the Thursday storm long after the EPS said it was going to the Carolinas.
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I agree with this but I'd say we're getting close to the point where it would be surprising if there wasn't *some* snow for us on Monday/Tuesday. Will it be a big dog? Hopefully, but as you said too early to get fully on that train.
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah I deleted it. I didn't realize it was the control. If that was the mean.....
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    144 oh YES.
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    We need @Ralph Wiggum to come on here and tell us why the Euro is too complicated. When he did that this morning for the ICON it printed out a MECS for us on the next run.
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    UK looks good to me, the coastal development happens at a more favorable latitude for us than the GFS/Para. ETA: And it's really cold throughout
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Guys I'm worried, I thought the Sunday-Tuesday timeframe had potential but Ralph Wiggum says the extrapolated ICON doesn't look good.
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