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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. When does that corridor from DC north and East to Baltimore pick up the additional QPF? On the 18z euro panels posted I never really saw the CCB dip down into that area.
  2. Man, Baltimore sure does look like a decent spot for this one. Euro steadfast with that area of heavier QPF from DC northeast.
  3. All in all ends up about the same as 12z. Looks to be split about evenly with WAA and CCB for DC. Where do I sign?
  4. To be honest I got scared just looking at these within 15 minutes of the next euro lol
  5. Yes! I’ve been looking forward to tomorrow all week. I love a big shield of snow you can just watch roll in.
  6. At 29 hours there’s a lot more Precip ashore in eastern NC and VA, I wonder if that bodes well for coastal impacts.
  7. I know we like to make fun of the NAM a lot but it seems to lead the way a lot with the trends on these storms inside of 72 hours. Hoping to see a favorable CCB trend starting with 18z.
  8. I like the run. 3-6 inches on the front end. Then we take our chances with a low sitting off asseteague for 24+ hours. If the Euro low position is correct I think we'd get some additional snow.
  9. Trough looks a little sharper and less positively tilted at 42 on the NAM.
  10. Yeah at the risk of being attacked id say it looks good for most of us in here. It’s gonna snow.
  11. Hahaha we got the scenario PSU told us we needed to root for and it’s a big dud on the coastal for DC. Oh well, I wasn’t invested in the coastal anyway, always knew there was a good chance that wouldn’t work out for us . I’m still really excited for a great day tomorrow, 2-5 inches of daytime snow and good temps.
  12. I like that look. Solid snowy day Sunday, comes in hot and heavy. I’m gonna really enjoy daytime snow that sticks.
  13. Most people around here only use the HRRR right before the onset. Late tomorrow night and Sunday morning it will get discussed more. It’s not generally thought to be too useful past like 12 hours or so.
  14. @Ji pointed this out the other day but for some reason I like the euro pbp without pics, it’s so much more fun for some reason.
  15. We need a good pbp for 18z euro paging @Deck Pic @yoda
  16. I agree with this. People think that weather forecasts should always be right. They have no idea of the herculean amount of computing power that it takes to get us to the accuracy levels we're currently at. I don't think the boom/bust thing would've solved the snowquester problem though, pretty much everyone busted on that one.
  17. I know for sure I'm not a particularly intelligent individual, but I can't speak to anyone else.
  18. Ah yes, the ole no ones allowed to have opinions schtick. I feel like I’ve seen this before.
  19. Yeah don’t get me wrong I love capitol weather gang, I think they do a phenomenal job. I’m guessing most cities don’t have something comparable. They post tons of great articles and analysis and everything.
  20. Like my forecast is 30% bust (2-4), 20% boom (8-12) and the middle 50% (4-8). Instead of looking at all that nonsense just tell me 4-8 with low/medium confidence.
  21. I like this idea much better. It conveys the uncertainty without people walking away saying well we’re getting 3-15 inches.
  22. Like I said, I understand all that and reasonable minds can disagree here, but I think it’s overdoing it for one graphic.
  23. I also really don’t like the boom/bust thing. I understand why they think they should do it but IMO it’s overcomplicating it. 90% of people outside of weather boards aren’t going to look at the boom/bust and understand it anyway. Just give us the range you think is most likely.
  24. I agree, I’d still like to see how EPS handles the CCB.
  25. Like the cold temps on the euro, not too much QPF after the WAA for dc but I’ll still take this all day.
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