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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. Late in the game for JV model watching but I'm bored lol, ICON looks better.
  2. Could just be the junky pivotal maps. I don't think we lose an appreciable amount of QPF.
  3. No Both NAMs look like slightly more QPF for DC.
  4. New 3k NAM spikes us to 36 and starts as rain lol. Hopefully that's not correct.
  5. I like the virtual thing. Kids and teachers barely have to do anything, it's basically still a snow day and then u don't have to make the day up. Everyone wins.
  6. HRRR has DC almost at 0.5 QPF now, and 0z was closer to 0.3. I think it is slowly catching on.
  7. I am not smarter than you but I think perhaps also a tad ahead of schedule. Dews in the teens though so it’ll take a bit to moisten.
  8. 3k bumped up QPF north of DC, Baltimore does better as well as northern moco.
  9. I like this better than 18z, healthier more consolidated looking precip shield through 21.
  10. I expected MCPS to fold like a cheap suit and close or delay. Good on them for not. Just because they decided not to this will probably come in hot and heavy and it’ll be a mess by 4:30 pm busses stuck lol.
  11. That’s a pretty solid run and glad to see it run that 6 inch line all the up into moco.
  12. That’s crazy I would’ve guessed something in California or perhaps west Chester county NY.
  13. 3K is gonna be a hold for DC metro but a slight cutback to the north.
  14. It's a little slower so perhaps a bit of a later save in the later panels though.
  15. NAM isn't gonna be as pretty as 12z. Def weaker/souther.
  16. Euro says our money period is after 00z. Looks like 0.4 QPF for dc between 0z and 6z. Based on the surface maps I'd say the good part will be closer to 00z than 6z. Probably 7-11pm is the prime time, plan jeb walks accordingly.
  17. It definitely looks a little less amplified to me, kind of the opposite direction that the NAM went from 6z to 12z.
  18. Yeah 1/6 we had good cold air in place and it started in the dark. Even if we do get similar QPF tomorrow we will be warmer to start and will be starting with maximum sun angle. We will not accumulate as efficiently as 1/6 until after dark.
  19. What I like on the 3k NAM is that the orientation of the precipitation switched ever so slightly from more west --> east to southwest --> northeast. I am guessing that could mean slightly more amplification of the wave.
  20. 3K is about the same for DC but improved a bit for the northern crew.
  21. This is a really easy forecast for dc IMO. I don’t see anything that makes me think 3-6 won’t work. I’m really excited for Tuesday night after sunset, gonna be prime jeb walking conditions. Hopefully we can get something else in the PSU window but I am treating this as if it’s our last snow, gonna savor it.
  22. Steady as she goes, everything is pretty locked in now.
  23. Every time u post this I laugh. Please don’t stop.
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