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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Really? Was just going by the ensemble member low positions. Looks like a big cluster in spots that usually work for us.
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    6Z gefs looks fantastic for this too.
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Was just about to post that EPS looks like a clean miller A.
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    3k is basically a foot for all of us.
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    1-3 on top of our 10-13
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Solid 8-12 inches before the dry slot, see if we can get some backend stuff.
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    The SREF + long range HRRR + 12k nam trio is basically useless
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    The SREFs are junk, surprised they are being posted so much.
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    This is a good trend for us. North enough to bring the goods but not north enough for dry slot/mid level warming.
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah that looks like a really good map. LOL HRRR is a beat down. 10 inches by afternoon and looks like part 2 forming.
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I still think this bumps north tonight and tomorrow at least a little. Baltimore gonna do ok.
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    RIC gonna get nuked… enjoy
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Crazy uncle UKIE is way south. 2-4 for dc.
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah the coastal is the thing I really want to trend better. Unfortunately as of now it looks like the globals (GFS/Euro/CMC) have that area of coastal snow just a little south of Dc Metro, would like to see that bump north.
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It’s crazy how you don’t even have to look at models besides the euro. They all just trend towards it.
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    With an 8-12+ zone in that sweet spot where the banding makes it without temp issues.
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It’s frigid out now. I believe these more southern solutions based on the way it feels this morning. RGEM and ICON both trending towards the Euro it seems.
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    That actually looks pretty good for us but the Euro/GFS/CMC have that initial overrunning band WAY south of the NAMs, so I have to go with them.
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yeah, kinda hard to take it too seriously though when all the good global models do not show this.
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Coastal taking over at hour 60. We have to hope it’s wrong about punching that dry slot through nova into dc. Baltimore likes this run.
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Absolutely, I’m a snow pack guy as well. This week will be ideal with the low sun angle and temps in the 20s.
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Beautiful - that’s about a 30 mile northward bump by the 1 inch contour and a much expanded 1.2 contour. Legit shot at 8-14 for DC if that thing makes one more bump north.
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    DC is gonna get smacked. In a really good spot for this one.
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    The spread isn’t that large really. It’s gonna snow in Maryland and Virginia. 3-6 or 4-8 probably works for most of the area except the edges. Most storms are like this with the shifting and model disagreement about placement of bands.
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    No apologies necessary good sir. Thank you for your service and please continue your pbp every time. You are the goat.
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