Dont wanna derail the long range thread but @psuhoffman has some great points. I expect this to become the new norm as we were already at a marginal latitude for snow before our climate started rapidly warming. I don’t think people will really start to care until their ski resorts have to shut down permanently.
This has been very noticeable. As a runner I still haven't had to put on more than a base layer/t shirt combo for a run. I haven't even been wearing a hat! Usually in January I have to bundle up at least a few times. What's the coldest temp at DCA this season? Like mid 20s or something pathetic like that?
We need the cold. It's barely been below freezing here it seems. A cold day this winter has been like a high of 44 and a low of 33. I'm not expecting much, if anything, until we get real cold on this side of the CONUS.
I wouldn't say I'm worried, I'm happy to see a modeled storm that doesn't miss us. I'm just being cautious because with those temps it's better not to go in with huge expectations (at least where I live in urban heat island hell).
At the peak of the storm (00z Wed) you'd have to go to like I81 or State College to find temps at or below 32 while it's in the mid 30s in immediate DC metro.
Yeah as much as I like CWG their forecasts and articles are brutal. They're so concerned about "communicating uncertainty" that it seems like they never actually make any forecasts, they just tell you anything could happen. That way they're never wrong!
Didn't we have legit arctic air with that one? I think I remember smoking cirrus up here in the DC area and it being like 20 degrees for the high. This one with a very marginal airmass doesn't seem it could produce such a wide swath of heavy snow,