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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. Yep, I agree with this, and all of 95 up through Boston has the same issue. 850 and 925 temps look ok for the duration, I'd rather gamble with the surface if I had to choose.
  2. I would definitely gamble on this, but don't look at the 2m temps and just pretend it happens colder than modeled. 35 in DC for most of the storm.
  3. Looks good to me, 2-4 inches by 06z Sunday across most of DC metro north to south.
  4. A large percentage of those are stalling/crawling in great locations for us. LFG.
  5. Yeah, basically what the 00z UK is showing. I would also sign on the dotted line for that. Solid warning event with no temp issues.
  6. 6z para has the stall, just a little too far northeast for us to profit off it.
  7. I really like the overnight runs. I'm almost relieved the Euro didn't print out another HECS because that sets the expectations unreasonably high. The EPS being a big hit and the op Euro being a moderate hit but a southern outlier is about as good as you can draw it up for 5ish days out.
  8. Wow these maps are looking very nice. I’m starting to believe it might actually snow!
  9. Para is still thumpy with the waa. Gets the precip in way quicker than the Euro.
  10. So 12z Recap and please correct me if I'm wrong about any of these GFS/GEFS: light/decent Para: good CMC/GEPS: decent UK: decent Euro/EPS: ridiculous Icon: very good JMA: good Navgem: good Am I missing anything? I'll tell you what, I'm glad it's not the GEFS/EPS reversed. The GEFS was holding on to the Thursday storm long after the EPS said it was going to the Carolinas.
  11. I agree with this but I'd say we're getting close to the point where it would be surprising if there wasn't *some* snow for us on Monday/Tuesday. Will it be a big dog? Hopefully, but as you said too early to get fully on that train.
  12. Yeah I deleted it. I didn't realize it was the control. If that was the mean.....
  13. We need @Ralph Wiggum to come on here and tell us why the Euro is too complicated. When he did that this morning for the ICON it printed out a MECS for us on the next run.
  14. UK looks good to me, the coastal development happens at a more favorable latitude for us than the GFS/Para. ETA: And it's really cold throughout
  15. Guys I'm worried, I thought the Sunday-Tuesday timeframe had potential but Ralph Wiggum says the extrapolated ICON doesn't look good.
  16. I'm happy that the Euro, CMC, Para show us getting some WAA snows. It would be awesome to get a 3-6 or 4-8 type deal. Of course I'd love a big dog but let's start with the WAA snows.
  17. Para looks good to me. Coastal never really gets going in time except for far eastern SNE.
  18. This is true. The skiing would be better in the Sierra though.
  19. 66 inches of snow forecast at mammoth lake California. Would love to get up there one year for an epic storm like that.
  20. Still snowing decently despite the radar looking like it’s over here. Got a hot tub last summer and this is the first I’m in it while it’s snowing.
  21. Yes this was modeled by the NAMs. Should be outta here before 8:30 at this rate.
  22. So how long do we have? Short range models still keeping us snowing til like 9 or 10?
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