Yep, I agree with this, and all of 95 up through Boston has the same issue. 850 and 925 temps look ok for the duration, I'd rather gamble with the surface if I had to choose.
I really like the overnight runs. I'm almost relieved the Euro didn't print out another HECS because that sets the expectations unreasonably high. The EPS being a big hit and the op Euro being a moderate hit but a southern outlier is about as good as you can draw it up for 5ish days out.
So 12z Recap and please correct me if I'm wrong about any of these
GFS/GEFS: light/decent
Para: good
CMC/GEPS: decent
UK: decent
Euro/EPS: ridiculous
Icon: very good
JMA: good
Navgem: good
Am I missing anything? I'll tell you what, I'm glad it's not the GEFS/EPS reversed. The GEFS was holding on to the Thursday storm long after the EPS said it was going to the Carolinas.
I agree with this but I'd say we're getting close to the point where it would be surprising if there wasn't *some* snow for us on Monday/Tuesday. Will it be a big dog? Hopefully, but as you said too early to get fully on that train.
We need @Ralph Wiggum to come on here and tell us why the Euro is too complicated. When he did that this morning for the ICON it printed out a MECS for us on the next run.
I'm happy that the Euro, CMC, Para show us getting some WAA snows. It would be awesome to get a 3-6 or 4-8 type deal. Of course I'd love a big dog but let's start with the WAA snows.