SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark
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It’s hard to believe that there will be basically no deform as the euro is showing when most models have it. But it’s also hard to go against the euro this close in!!! Gonna be interesting to see how it plays out.
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Gonna be some epic meltdowns today if guidance follows the euro. If the coastal doesn’t pan out that’s fine, I’m just looking forward to a wintry day Sunday even if this all just ends up a 2-4 deal.
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A blend of the Euro/GFS would work pretty nicely though. Yeah that’s a big hit forum wide and still dumping.
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You’re in Philly? DC doesn’t need a north shift lol, EPS bullseyes this area.
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Yeah me too, I love storms where it actually feels like winter start to finish and it isn’t drip drop drip drop for 5 hours in the middle. I don’t care too much about the super duper amounts at this juncture given our recent futility. I’d just like some snow that sticks and doesn’t melt instantly. Even if this ends up a 2-4 or 3-6 inch deal I’ll be pretty happy.
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Thats pretty for DC. Still a lot of time for it to move around though so I’m not spiking any footballs.
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I dunno, glad this is all hypothetical (for now) and most models aren’t showing this. It doesn’t seem like we’re in danger of losing the whole set up. Most models still target our region. I think a large swath of our region gets 5+ inches.
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If we’re picking our fail method I say let’s go suppression. We’ll hopefully still get something on the WAA, maybe just less, but at least it would be cold and wouldn’t melt right away. If the 18z euro is right you’ll get a lot of snow!
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That’s quite an encouraging panel for DC metro. I would think we get a bunch more snow after this.
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I don't think east is a real concern for us. There haven't been a lot of model runs showing the coastal forming too far east. My concern is something like last night's Euro or this mornings ICON where the coastal doesn't get its act together in time for us which is typically how we fail in a Miller B.
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And the best part is....no torch. We're hanging out around freezing so once the precip comes back in we're money.
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Beautiful run, no temp issues......LFG. Double digits all around.
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Colder than 00z that's for sure.
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On that link @NorthArlington101 posted it looks like it changes us all back to heavy snow Monday afternoon/evening which hangs around for a while.
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GFS changing everyone back to snow Monday afternoon hahaha
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Noticing that too, surface is torched though and on pivotal weather it shows that as mostly rain, but I am definitely not sweating thermals now.
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GFS is ICON like, decent front end thump and a whiff on the coastal. I'll take my 2-5 inches Sunday and like it if this ends up being correct.
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Yeah looks like the coastal impacts are still well north of our region. On to the good models now.
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Yeah pretty much every model forms a coastal but there is obviously still a big question mark as to where it delivers the biggest impacts. If I was a forecaster I'd be focused on telling the public that some accumulating snow is likely Sunday and Sunday night and the impacts of the coastal on Monday are yet to be determined.
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Euro looks good to me. 3-6 inches for the WAA is what I’m pumped for. Anything after that is gravy.
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Good god yes. Look at that due almost East movement on the last panel.
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That was a nice event, part 2 really delivered and was quite delayed from part 1. We were on here all morning hemming and hawing about whether it would happen. Had some great rates during the end of the storm and finished with about 11 inches here in takoma park. Would love to replicate that Sunday and Monday.
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It does appear that way. And obviously even the GFS solution still snows on us so I’d say we’re looking good!
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Wow when’s the last time we’ve seen an EPS mean look this good at 5 days or less? 2016?
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I think my favorite part of the Euro run is that we have 4-7 inches down region wide with great temps before the coastal is even near our latitude. I really wanna lock up that part 1 and then anything after will be gravy.
