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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Absolutely pounding sleet now.
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I dunno why anyone would like sleet. It sleets hard and then you have nothing to show for it. At least freezing rain makes the trees look pretty.
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Snow mixing in Takoma park, or so it looks from inside.
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    So the NAM from a few days ago as our far NW outliner wins again. Sheesh.
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    so I guess the GFS para wasn’t right hahaha? Sounds like a lot of sleet outside.
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It looks like some oscillating between sleet/snow in the heavy precip. Should be fun for sure.
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Looks like almost sleet if not sleet to me, but close.
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Little Rock has a snow depth of 14 inches so my bar for this storm just became 14 inches.
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Hey it’s actually in the 20s before a storm! 29/16.
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    And warmer too for DC. 850s knocking on the door at 12z.
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    BTW is it nice for you to be out of urban heat island hell? I remember all your obs from past events basically 40 degrees and sad hahaha. Do you take some trips up to Canaan at all?
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    If that map verifies it will be a proper bust for basically our entire subforum except DCA lol.
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    If the NAM is right though we ride that line, keep the heavies going until the flip and then it's basically zip outta here quick anyway. But yeah, like you said, really close on those soundings.
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It's 5 inches for DC before sleet, it's pretty much the best case scenario. The heavy precip doesn't even stick around for that long after the changeover anyway.
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    12k is a beast. 0.5 QPF before sleet for DC. Love it.
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Looks very reasonable to me. I hope it verifies!
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I was thinking the same thing. Anything is preferable to white rain and 35 degrees. This will almost certainly at least start off white for us. Should be fun.
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Do you have a 10:1 map?
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    00z euro still looked good, my bar here is 2-4, which if it accumulated nicely in a few hours on roads would be my best event of the winter by far.
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    3 inch sleet bombs are more rare than big snow storms, I wouldn’t get your hopes up for that.
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Solid event, I’d sign for the 3 inches that gives me right now if I could. 3 inches + sleet + snow showers + a cold weekend is about as good as it gets most of the time for us. Gotta just roll with it, can’t be punting events like this as a mid Atlantic weenie.
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Those SV maps don’t differentiate sleet, it just gets counted as 10:1 I believe.
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    That’s basically been every event down here. Like this setup a lot better.
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Yes it would worry me more if the NAM was in line with everything and then started trending away within 48 hours. This run appears to be a slight trend towards the globals with a better push of colder air at higher levels to start. Of course this season you never go wrong choosing the warmest model so there's that too.
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Quick flip to sleet, substantial warm nose at 700, but trending better.
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