Looks like a cohesive shield may be trying to form. hrrr doesn’t have any kind of cohesive shield until 7 for dc. Maybe we can score a coup over the short range guidance which says we’re basically done.
You can see the mason dixon line band and the skinny moco band starting to merge a bit. Maybe a larger more coherent precip shield forming over maryland?
Quick perusing of radar and those models and my conclusion is the 3k NAM matches best with current radar. This conclusion is 100% not at all biased by the highest QPF number
3k is beautiful with the backside. Fluff for all.