Jump to content

SomeguyfromTakomaPark

Members
  • Posts

    6,143
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. Looks a lot more coastal like with the precip shield at 54.
  2. UK is a nice thump with DC hanging on to freezing at 700, 850, and 925 at 18z Thursday. Focuses heaviest precip south of DC.
  3. Teens Friday night, high in the 20s Saturday, single digits for many Saturday night on the GFS. Would be a nice wintry weekend with the fresh snow pack if it played out like this.
  4. GFS does it too, changes Baltimore and north back over to snow at the end.
  5. Yeah, it looks like they must cool off quickly on the next as the precip starts though so I deleted the post because it doesn't seem to be an important variable.
  6. Haven't been following this threat as closely but wow at how much colder on the surface it has trended. GFS keeps the metros below freezing through 12z Friday. As of yesterday 12z it was looking like we might get above freezing by 00z Friday.
  7. Hey where’s @losetoa6 been? I thought he’d be all over this storm.
  8. Globals giving us a snowstorm and the NAM giving us a squall line Thursday night lol. If it were any other season I'd be laughing at the NAM.
  9. Dang, that menu looks good. About to order this soon from the college park location. Tempura green beans are an intriguing side dish.
  10. I am partial to burger fi because we have one right in silver spring....their onion rings are legit.
  11. I'm ready for a nice gully washer. After 3 years of dealing with a flooding basement and trying to solve the problem via landscaping, sloping terrain away from house, improving drainage, etc I gave up and got a sump pump/french drain system installed. Now I can go ahead and root for the heaviest rain possible and not have to worry about my basement.
  12. Hopefully what makes it different is it won't start trending away from us in the next 24-48 hours! The last disaster was supposed to be a Wed-Fri event and the Euro/EPS was showing 8-12 inches for us as late as Monday before the event before it started trending to crap.
  13. It's a pretty substantial run to run shift comparing 12z to 00z.
  14. I like how this is still trending run to run in the right direction. Please don't stop!!!
  15. Yes I'm glad you have the history to prove it! Front end thumps with cold temps to start are actually one of the situations that are pretty straightforward and we are less likely to fail in imo. We're not waiting for a column to cool dependent upon ridiculous rates.
  16. GFS is a front end crush job. 6+ inches for DC by 15z before changeover.
  17. This is kind of a garbage post. You're not considering or analyzing the synoptic evolution or antecedent airmass. You're just saying "we always fail". I've lived in the DC area since 2009 and there have been quite a few good storms that don't fit your narrative.
  18. Hmmm, of course that outcome is possible, but I don't necessarily agree. Starting out in the 20s is a decent recipe for some front end accumulations. Of course, the models could all change and we could start out at 35 and fail miserably, but if the models hold the look they have now I'd expect at least some accumulations.
  19. Yeah, it's awesome. It's amazing that Houston Texas will maybe have a lower lowest temp this winter than DC, Philly, and NYC.
  20. Our pathetic winter continues up here in the DC area, but I am excited to see this historic storm in Texas!!! Austin getting 3-5 inches of snow, going into the single digits two nights in a row, that’s so absurd.
  21. Has anyone been keeping tabs on how it ended up doing with the last few storms?
  22. Looks like we hang on to the surface for almost the duration. Snow --> ice --> dryslot.
×
×
  • Create New...