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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I was talking about the Euro AI which has continuously showed snow for us for many runs in a row now.
  2. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    And the one model that really hasn't shifted its solution much in the last 24 hours....you already know.
  3. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    UK looks much better than 0z as well....
  4. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Very close for us on CMC and GFS, it's only Wednesday. Lots of time for changes. Maybe for once we get positive changes as we approach game time.
  5. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    That's looking like the Euro AI precip distribution wise except displaced a tad north, also get's that 6 inch line way back into VA. I'd love to see the members for this.
  6. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Oh hey that looks pretty good!
  7. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    This kind of “fail” is much more palatable than our typical miller b nyc or Boston blizzard. Maybe we can still reel in a nice moderate snowfall.
  8. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    don’t think I’ve ever seen an inverted trough over Shenandoah national park! I expect that to move closer to the coast.
  9. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    We are just so used to it being right but it has been dethroned imo. I think there’s a better chance it trends to the AI than vice versa.
  10. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    To me this looks fantastic, doesn’t look like a miller b screw job at all type map. Let’s lock this in.
  11. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I dunno why people think the ICON at 100+ hours will be consistent. Let’s keep the ai ensembles on our side til Thursday, get the EPS on board tonight or tomorrow, and then dial the ops in Thursday and Friday.
  12. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Anyone have the weathernext? Would love to know how that’s been trending.
  13. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    The least ai can do for us accurately depict a miller b at 5 day lead before it eventually enslaves us and turns us into batteries.
  14. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    GEPS looks better at 12z too.
  15. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Not worried about the euro, it’s been getting slapped around by its ai cousin from this range all winter. I’m more just worried about the ai shifting this whole thing northeast as we get closer which of course could happen.
  16. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    AI ensembles look better to me, better MSLP with more west leaning members.
  17. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    AI ensembles look more juiced through 120, let’s see if that translates for us.
  18. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    Agree we’ve been burned many times waiting for dynamic cooling, it’s never a guarantee. Hopefully we can actually get this low cranking to make it happen. Ai ensembles out yet? Or perhaps the weathernext? Would like to have those two on our side.
  19. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    We get it....we all know how this can fail for us, but what do you expect us to do? Not track the storm with the models showing a foot of snow for us? Where's the fun in that? Let us enjoy this, most likely the last big chance of the year. If it fails it fails so be it, but we're still in the game as of 12z.
  20. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    If you just toggle all the op runs on TT it's pretty crazy the agreement for low position around 138 hours.
  21. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    It's our last chance...just gonna roll the dice and then root for spring if nothing else pops up soon after.
  22. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    CMC is 2.6 QPF for dc, let's just bomb this thing out and hope we get crashing 850s in the CCB.
  23. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    I'd sign for the CMC now! It's not a bad run and somehow gets us heavy snow despite the primary going to WV.
  24. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    This is the known hazard of living in the mid atlantic for miller B's, it can (and mostly does!) happen but lets see, there have been times where it has worked for us. Hopefully the Euro AI continues with beefy CCB for us. Also like seeing that weathernext on our side.
  25. SomeguyfromTakomaPark
    lol if we get CCB and it’s 42 oh well we can’t win
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