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SomeguyfromTakomaPark

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Everything posted by SomeguyfromTakomaPark

  1. Huge shift by the icon, so close for dc. Baltimore and east get the goods.
  2. Wow ICON big h5 amping shift at hour 42, digging further south/more amped.
  3. Icon looks to be continuing the amping/better phasing trend early….
  4. There’s a lot more precip with the initial part, should be a big run incoming.
  5. You got this @bncho Lead us to the promised land in Randy’s absence.
  6. Been discussed earlier but was at my sons basketball, didn’t realize the ai euro and ai ensembles moved so far west. We’ve seen this a million times with events when we’re in the bullseye and then a trend starts and doesn’t stop. Maybe finally we’re on the right side of it?
  7. Could be wrong but I have a feeling these ticks don’t stop, it’s been ticking for many cycles now.
  8. Just looking at the NAM, wow what a shift. Let's keep this trending! It seems like every trend has been left for a lotta runs in a row now. Maybe it just won't stop.
  9. Tough forecast for all of dc area, I could see this totally busting and us getting an inch of slop or if this thing trends up til game time we could get buried. Really tough call with the models still adjusting.
  10. Still feels like some trending to go before the actual storm but it's nice to see the the total whiff solutions from the euro/icon a few days ago are basically gone.
  11. Bah, yeah it doesn't sharpen up quite like 6z. But even though the trough looks more progressive it still looks good at the surface. Hour 57 looks nice.
  12. Shortwave over the midwest look better consolidated at 33, I would think that's better, but I am not very intelligent so I may be very wrong.
  13. Looking at the SREFs, NAM, RGEM, ICON....those are all pretty significant run to run jumps with the coastal in the direction we want. Normally by this point in our fails we are already trending very much the opposite....
  14. I wouldn’t take them literally but I think that’s a very large shift! Hopefully indicative of things to come at 12z.
  15. Agree, somehow, someway, maybe this thing can be right for once and it’ll pound snow all day on Sunday. But yeah, not counting on it.
  16. I’d be happy to see a few inches of wet snow on the grass, why not? But yeah if the gfs slowly comes back to a low impact thing…oh well!
  17. I don’t know if I ever remember THIS much disagreement 48 hours out…..GFS been down bad for a long time but please, one time, be right.
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