The Euro is about .45-.5 QPF for us with temps 24-25. That's a very nice event for us in metro DC. And yeah it gives us room for the inevitable creep northward between now and Sunday.
Definitely not sweating the thermals at this juncture with the Euro well south...but I think I would take the thermal issues during the day Monday for that coastal 3-6 of fluff at the end.
Well it does snow in DC on the Euro.
Coastal taking over at 84 on the NAM. This is a good run and would be plenty of QPF for all of Maryland, DC, and NOVA.
One thing about the 6z Euro being further south is it's quite cold. Starts around 27 in DC and drops to 23/24 during the heaviest precip then only 26/27 for the high. Very little snow would be wasted in that situation. I love events like that.
What really puts that GFS run over the top is the 2-4 inches we get from the coastal after 0z Tuesday. The euro is a little less enthused with that aspect and gives us the majority of our snow from the overrunning.
Thursday could be one of the colder days since I moved to this region (2009). Euro has highs below 20 for dc. I’ll take the over on that but even a high of 24/25 is pretty remarkable around here.