Most of the warming has been recent and it has been accelerating. And yes, I think I’ve seen enough 37 degree rainstorms and 65 degree January/February days to believe climate is changing and is affecting the amount of snow we get.
Even alone 0.25 on a QPF mean all snow at day is 5 is good. And it’s better being on the NW side of the envelope than on the SE side of a snow potential with raging southerly mid level flow.
This is actually a pretty good spot to be in IMO at day 5. Heaviest precip to our southeast while some other models showing everything more NW. Take a blend of everything and it's a snowstorm for us.